Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 30

Odds updated as of 4:16 p.m.

MLB action on Wednesday includes the San Diego Padres facing the New York Mets.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Padres vs Mets Game Info

• San Diego Padres (59-49) vs. New York Mets (62-46)
• Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Padres vs Mets Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-118) | NYM: (-100)
• Spread: SD: +1.5 (-200) | NYM: -1.5 (+164)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Padres vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish (Padres) - 0-3, 9.18 ERA vs Clay Holmes (Mets) - 9-5, 3.40 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Yu Darvish (0-3) to the mound, while Clay Holmes (9-5) will take the ball for the Mets. Darvish's team is 1-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Darvish's team lost his only start as a favorite this season. The Mets have gone 9-10-0 ATS in Holmes' 19 starts that had a set spread. The Mets are 2-2 in Holmes' four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Padres vs Mets Moneyline

• New York is a -100 underdog on the moneyline, while San Diego is a -118 favorite at home.

Padres vs Mets Spread

• The Mets are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Mets are +164 to cover, while the Padres are -200 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Padres vs Mets Over/Under

• The over/under for Padres-Mets on July 30 is 8.5. The over is -105, and the under is -115.

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Padres vs Mets Betting Trends

• The Padres have been favorites in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (59.6%) in those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 29-19 when favored by -118 or more this year.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of their 106 opportunities.
• The Padres are 58-48-0 against the spread in their 106 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Mets have won 41.4% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (12-17).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, New York has a record of 8-13 (38.1%).
• The Mets have combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times this season for a 45-54-4 record against the over/under.
• The Mets have a 51-52-0 record ATS this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado leads San Diego in slugging percentage (.511) and total hits (125) this season. He's batting .301 with an on-base percentage of .361.
• Among qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks eighth, his on-base percentage ranks 30th, and he is 17th in slugging.
• Machado has picked up at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .436 with five doubles, two home runs, three walks and nine RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego in OBP (.367) this season, fueled by 108 hits. He's batting .269 while slugging .450.
• His batting average is 54th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 22nd, and his slugging percentage 63rd.
• Tatis takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with four doubles, four walks and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez has collected 121 base hits, an OBP of .328 and a slugging percentage of .404 this season.
• Arraez heads into this game with 12 games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .366 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts has seven home runs, 37 RBI and a batting average of .267 this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto a has .382 on-base percentage to pace the Mets. He's batting .248 while slugging .488.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, he is 99th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage and 26th in slugging percentage.
• Pete Alonso's 105 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .261 while slugging .495 with an on-base percentage of .353.
• He is currently 74th in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage and 23rd in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Francisco Lindor has a .434 slugging percentage, which paces the Mets.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .258 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks.

Padres vs Mets Head to Head

• 7/29/2025: 7-1 SD (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 7/28/2025: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 8/25/2024: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 8/24/2024: 7-1 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 8/23/2024: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/22/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 6/16/2024: 11-6 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 6/15/2024: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 7/9/2023: 6-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 7/8/2023: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)

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