Mercyhurst vs Stonehill College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NEC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Mercyhurst Lakers (16-16, 10-8 NEC) will face off against the No. 5 seed Stonehill Skyhawks (12-20, 8-10 NEC) in the NEC tournament Saturday at Mercyhurst Athletic Center, starting at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Erie, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Mercyhurst Athletic Center

Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mercyhurst win (71%)

Mercyhurst is a 4.5-point favorite against Stonehill on Saturday and the over/under has been set at 134.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights to help you make an informed wager on the matchup.

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Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mercyhurst has compiled a 20-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Stonehill has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Mercyhurst (4-4) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (50%) than Stonehill (11-4) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (73.3%).
• The Lakers have covered the spread in the same percentage of games at home as road games (66.7%). They have covered eight times in 12 games at home and 12 times in 18 games when playing on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Skyhawks have a lower winning percentage at home (.455, 5-6-0 record) than away (.611, 11-7-0).
• Mercyhurst's record against the spread in conference play is 13-6-0.
• Stonehill has 10 wins against the spread in 19 NEC games this year.

Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mercyhurst has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 16 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (68.8%) in those games.
• This year, the Lakers have won five of seven games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
• Stonehill has put together a 7-15 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.8% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +168 or longer, the Skyhawks have a record of 3-10 (23.1%).
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Mercyhurst has a 67.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Mercyhurst vs. Stonehill Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, Mercyhurst was the 321st-ranked squad in the nation (67.9 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 107th (69.9 points conceded per game).
• Last season, Mercyhurst was -2-worst in the country in rebounds (25.4 per game) and 195th in rebounds conceded (31.4).
• Last season Mercyhurst was ranked 184th in the country in assists with 13.5 per game.
• At 9.9 turnovers committed per game and 13.6 turnovers forced last year, Mercyhurst was 62nd and 33rd in the nation, respectively.
• Stonehill was 307th in the nation last year with 68.7 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 116th with 70.1 points allowed per contest.
• With 30.3 boards per game, Stonehill was 282nd in the country. It ceded 30.5 rebounds per contest, which ranked 135th in college basketball.
• Last season Stonehill ranked 111th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 14.4 per game.
• Stonehill was 221st in the nation with 11.5 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 250th with 10.5 forced turnovers per contest.

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