McNeese vs SFA College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Southland Tournament Championship

The Southland champion will be crowned on Wednesday when the No. 2 seed McNeese Cowboys (27-5, 19-3 Southland) and the No. 1 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (28-4, 20-2 Southland) meet at 5 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

McNeese vs. SFA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Arena: The Legacy Center

McNeese vs. SFA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: SFA win (51.3%)

Take a look at the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Wednesday's McNeese-SFA spread (McNeese -1.5) or total (137.5 points).

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McNeese vs. SFA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• McNeese is 13-17-0 ATS this season.
• SFA is 22-8-0 ATS this season.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, McNeese (12-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (44.4%) than SFA (5-1) does as the underdog (83.3%).
• Against the spread, the Cowboys have performed better at home, covering seven times in 13 home games, and three times in 14 road games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Lumberjacks have a lower winning percentage at home (.714, 10-4-0 record) than away (.800, 12-3-0).
• McNeese is 8-15-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
• Against the spread in Southland action, SFA is 17-6-0 this season.

McNeese vs. SFA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• McNeese has come away with 24 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This year, the Cowboys have won 24 of 27 games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
• SFA has won three of the five games it was the moneyline underdog this season (60%).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Lumberjacks have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).
• McNeese has an implied victory probability of 55% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

McNeese vs. SFA Head-to-Head Comparison

• McNeese has a +431 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.5 points per game. It is putting up 80.2 points per game to rank 82nd in college basketball and is giving up 66.7 per outing to rank 27th in college basketball.
• Larry Johnson is 126th in the country with a team-leading 17.5 points per game.
• SFA outscores opponents by 11.3 points per game (posting 76.9 points per game, 153rd in college basketball, and giving up 65.6 per outing, 14th in college basketball) and has a +361 scoring differential.
• Keon Thompson is 79th in college basketball with a team-leading 18.3 points per game.
• The Cowboys win the rebound battle by 2.3 boards on average. They record 32.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 173rd in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.8 per contest.
• Johnson tops the Cowboys with 5.5 rebounds per game (417th in college basketball action).
• The Lumberjacks win the rebound battle by an average of five boards. They are collecting 34 rebounds per game (75th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.
• Jerald Colonel leads the team with 7.3 rebounds per game (124th in college basketball).
• McNeese's 103 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 61st in college basketball, and the 85.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 13th in college basketball.
• The Lumberjacks average 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (99th in college basketball), and give up 86.3 points per 100 possessions (19th in college basketball).

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