McNeese vs SFA College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Southland Tournament Championship

The No. 2 seed McNeese Cowboys (27-5, 19-3 Southland) will square off against the top-seeded Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (28-4, 20-2 Southland) in the Southland championship game with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament on the line. The matchup on Wednesday at The Legacy Center tips off at 5 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

McNeese vs. SFA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 5 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Arena: The Legacy Center

McNeese vs. SFA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: McNeese win (52.1%)

McNeese is a 2.5-point favorite over SFA on Wednesday and the total has been set at 133.5 points. Here's some betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the contest.

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McNeese vs. SFA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• McNeese has compiled a 13-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• SFA has put together a 22-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, McNeese (11-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.3%) than SFA (4-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• Against the spread, the Cowboys have performed better at home, covering seven times in 13 home games, and three times in 14 road games.
• The Lumberjacks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .714 (10-4-0). Away, it is .800 (12-3-0).
• McNeese's record against the spread in conference games is 8-15-0.
• SFA has covered the spread 17 times in 23 Southland games.

McNeese vs. SFA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• McNeese has won in 24, or 88.9%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Cowboys have a mark of 23-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -160 or better on the moneyline.
• SFA has been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. SFA has finished 3-2 in those games.
• The Lumberjacks have played as a moneyline underdog of +132 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that McNeese has a 61.5% chance of pulling out a win.

McNeese vs. SFA Head-to-Head Comparison

• McNeese outscores opponents by 13.5 points per game (scoring 80.2 per game to rank 82nd in college basketball while allowing 66.7 per outing to rank 27th in college basketball) and has a +431 scoring differential overall.
• Larry Johnson's team-leading 17.5 points per game ranks 126th in the country.
• SFA is outscoring opponents by 11.3 points per game, with a +361 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.9 points per game (154th in college basketball) and gives up 65.6 per contest (14th in college basketball).
• Keon Thompson leads SFA, putting up 18.3 points per game (79th in college basketball).
• The 32.1 rebounds per game the Cowboys average rank 174th in college basketball, and are 2.3 more than the 29.8 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Johnson is 417th in college basketball action with 5.5 rebounds per game to lead the Cowboys.
• The 34 rebounds per game the Lumberjacks accumulate rank 75th in the country, five more than the 29 their opponents pull down.
• Jerald Colonel tops the Lumberjacks with 7.3 rebounds per game (124th in college basketball).
• McNeese ranks 61st in college basketball with 103 points scored per 100 possessions, and 13th in college basketball defensively with 85.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Lumberjacks' 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 99th in college basketball, and the 86.3 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 19th in college basketball.

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