Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 23

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: Peacock and NBCS-BA

Two struggling teams meet when the Golden State Warriors (33-38) visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-48) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites as they look to stop a three-game losing streak against the Mavericks, who have lost three straight. The matchup has an over/under set at 230.5 points.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (65.4%)

Mavericks vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Warriors have put together a record of 30-40-1 against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks are 30-40-1 against the spread this season.
• Games involving the Warriors have hit the over 42 times this season.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over on 33 of 71 set point totals (46.5%).
• In home games, Golden State owns a worse record against the spread (14-19-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (16-21-0).
• When it comes to over/unders, the Warriors hit the over more often when playing at home, as they've exceeded the total 22 times in 34 opportunities this season (64.7%). On the road, they have hit the over 20 times in 37 opportunities (54.1%).
• This year, Dallas is 17-18-1 at home against the spread (.472 winning percentage). Away, it is 13-22-0 ATS (.371).
• In terms of the over/under, Mavericks games have finished over more often at home (19 of 36, 52.8%) than on the road (14 of 35, 40%).

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.8 points, 5.2 boards and 3.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green is averaging 8.5 points, 5.3 assists and 5.6 boards.
• Moses Moody is averaging 11.9 points, 1.6 assists and 3.3 boards.
• Quinten Post's numbers on the season are 7.8 points, 4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 44.1% from the field and 33.6% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made treys.
• Gui Santos is averaging 8.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points, 6.7 boards and 4.5 assists for the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks are getting 15.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game from Naji Marshall.
• The Mavericks are getting 14.3 points, 7 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from P.J. Washington.
• Per game, Brandon Williams gets the Mavericks 12.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists, plus 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Per game, Max Christie provides the Mavericks 12.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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