Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 23

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: Peacock and NBCS-BA

Two sliding teams hit the court when the Golden State Warriors (33-38) visit the Dallas Mavericks (23-48) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites as they look to break a three-game losing streak against the Mavericks, who have lost three straight. The over/under is 231.5 in the matchup.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (65.4%)

Mavericks vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Warriors have covered the spread 30 times in 71 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 30-40-1 this season.
• Games involving the Warriors have hit the over 42 times this season.
• Mavericks games this year have eclipsed the over/under 46.5% of the time (33 out of 71 games with a set point total).
• Golden State has done a better job covering the spread on the road (16-21-0) than it has in home games (14-19-1).
• At home, the Warriors eclipse the over/under 64.7% of the time (22 of 34 games). They've hit the over in 54.1% of away games (20 of 37 contests).
• Dallas' winning percentage against the spread at home is .472 (17-18-1). Away, it is .371 (13-22-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Mavericks games have finished over 19 of 36 times at home (52.8%), and 14 of 35 on the road (40%).

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski's numbers on the season are 12.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 44.2% from the floor and 36.1% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made treys.
• Draymond Green averages 8.5 points, 5.6 boards and 5.3 assists, shooting 41.4% from the field and 32.8% from downtown, with 1.5 made treys per contest.
• Moses Moody averages 11.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists.
• Quinten Post is averaging 7.8 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Gui Santos is averaging 8.1 points, 3.8 boards and 2.2 assists.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg averages 20.1 points for the Mavericks, plus 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
• Per game, Naji Marshall gets the Mavericks 15.3 points, 4.8 boards and 3.2 assists. He also averages 1 steal and 0.1 blocks.
• Per game, P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 14.3 points, 7 rebounds and 1.8 assists, plus 1 steal and 1.1 blocks.
• The Mavericks receive 12.8 points per game from Brandon Williams, plus 2.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists.
• The Mavericks get 12.6 points per game from Max Christie, plus 3.3 boards and 2 assists.

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