Marquette vs Xavier College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 7 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (12-19, 7-13 Big East) and the No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (14-17, 6-14 Big East) face off in the Big East tournament Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Marquette vs. Xavier Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Marquette vs. Xavier Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marquette win (57.1%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Marquette-Xavier outing (in which Marquette is a 4.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 153.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Wednesday's game.

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Marquette vs. Xavier: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Marquette has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 18 times.
• Xavier has covered 15 times in 31 matchups with a spread this year.
• Marquette covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 20% of the time. That's less often than Xavier covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (57.1%).
• Against the spread, the Golden Eagles have played worse when playing at home, covering seven times in 17 home games, and five times in 12 road games.
• This year, the Musketeers are 9-9-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, they are 4-7-0 ATS (.364).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Marquette is 10-10-0 this season.
• Xavier has covered the spread 10 times in 20 Big East games.

Marquette vs. Xavier: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Marquette has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (61.5%) in those games.
• This year, the Golden Eagles have won six of 10 games when listed as at least -194 or better on the moneyline.
• Xavier has won 21.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-15).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer, the Musketeers have a 2-11 record (winning only 15.4% of their games).
• Marquette has an implied victory probability of 66% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marquette vs. Xavier Head-to-Head Comparison

• Marquette has a -18 scoring differential, putting up 74.8 points per game (209th in college basketball) and allowing 75.4 (225th in college basketball).
• Marquette's leading scorer, Nigel James Jr., is 192nd in college basketball scoring 16.4 points per game.
• Xavier is being outscored by 1.6 points per game, with a -52 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.4 points per game (116th in college basketball), and gives up 80 per contest (330th in college basketball).
• Xavier's leading scorer, Tre Carroll, ranks 93rd in the country, putting up 18 points per game.
• The Golden Eagles lose the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. They record 30.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 250th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 34.8 per contest.
• Ben Gold leads the Golden Eagles with 5.6 rebounds per game (388th in college basketball play).
• The Musketeers are 193rd in the nation at 31.8 rebounds per game. That's 2.2 fewer than the 34 their opponents average.
• Filip Borovicanin is 98th in college basketball with 7.6 rebounds per game, leading the Musketeers.
• Marquette averages 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (286th in college basketball), and allows 93.8 points per 100 possessions (140th in college basketball).
• The Musketeers' 98.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 170th in college basketball, and the 100.2 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 309th in college basketball.

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