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LIU vs Mercyhurst College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NEC Tournament Championship

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LIU vs Mercyhurst College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NEC Tournament Championship

The NEC champion will be crowned Tuesday as the No. 1 seed Long Island Sharks (23-10, 15-3 NEC) face off against the No. 3 Mercyhurst Lakers (17-16, 10-8 NEC) at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

LIU vs. Mercyhurst Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Brooklyn, New York
  • Arena: Steinberg Wellness Center

LIU vs. Mercyhurst Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: LIU win (66.7%)

Check out these betting insights and trends before you wager on Tuesday's LIU-Mercyhurst spread (LIU -5.5) or total (134.5 points).

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LIU vs. Mercyhurst: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • LIU has put together a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • Mercyhurst has won 21 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
  • As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Mercyhurst is 6-2 against the spread compared to the 6-11 ATS record LIU puts up as a 5.5-point favorite.
  • When playing at home, the Sharks have a better record against the spread (7-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-10-0).
  • The Lakers have been better against the spread at home (9-4-0) than on the road (12-6-0) this year.
  • LIU has covered the spread seven times in 20 conference games.
  • Mercyhurst is 14-6-0 against the spread in NEC action this year.

LIU vs. Mercyhurst: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • LIU has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win 21 times (87.5%) in those games.
  • This season, the Sharks have been victorious 16 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -245 or better on the moneyline.
  • Mercyhurst has won three of the 14 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (21.4%).
  • The Lakers have a 1-7 record (winning only 12.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +198 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies LIU has a 71% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

LIU vs. Mercyhurst Head-to-Head Comparison

  • LIU was 325th in college basketball in points scored (67.7 per game) and 24th-best in points conceded (65.3) last year.
  • LIU collected 32.3 rebounds per game and gave up 28.5 boards last season, ranking 162nd and 36th, respectively, in college basketball.
  • LIU was 300th in college basketball in assists (11.8 per game) last season.
  • LIU was 277th in college basketball in turnovers per game (12.2) and 53rd in turnovers forced (12.9) last season.
  • Offensively, Mercyhurst put up 67.9 points per game (321st-ranked in college basketball) last season. It allowed 69.9 points per contest on defense (107th-ranked).
  • Mercyhurst struggled to grab rebounds last season, ranking -2-worst in college basketball with 25.4 rebounds per game. It ranked 195th by allowing 31.4 rebounds per contest.
  • Mercyhurst put up 13.5 assists per game, which ranked them 184th in the country.
  • With 9.9 turnovers per game, Mercyhurst ranked 62nd in college basketball. It forced 13.6 turnovers per contest, which ranked 33rd in college basketball.

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