Kentucky vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (20-12, 10-8 SEC) and the No. 8 seed Missouri Tigers (20-11, 10-8 SEC) will try to advance in the SEC tournament on Thursday as they meet at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Kentucky vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kentucky win (63.6%)

Kentucky is a 2.5-point favorite against Missouri on Thursday and the total is set at 148.5 points. Here are some betting insights and trends before you place a wager on the matchup.

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Kentucky vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Missouri has put together a 14-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• Missouri covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Kentucky covers as a favorite of 2.5 or more (42.1%).
• The Wildcats sport an identical winning percentage against the spread in home games (.500) as they do in road games.
• The Tigers have been better against the spread away (6-5-0) than at home (8-10-0) this year.
• Kentucky's record against the spread in conference action is 9-10-0.
• Against the spread in SEC play, Missouri is 9-9-0 this season.

Kentucky vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky has been victorious in 11, or 73.3%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Wildcats have won eight of 12 games when listed as at least -152 or better on the moneyline.
• Missouri has won six of the 12 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, the Tigers have a 5-4 record (winning 55.6% of their games).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Kentucky has a 60.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison

• Kentucky averages 81.4 points per game (62nd in college basketball) while giving up 74 per outing (187th in college basketball). It has a +238 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.4 points per game.
• Kentucky's leading scorer, Otega Oweh, ranks 77th in the country putting up 18.3 points per game.
• Missouri is outscoring opponents by 4.6 points per game, with a +144 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.9 points per game (90th in college basketball) and allows 75.3 per outing (222nd in college basketball).
• Mark Mitchell is 98th in the nation with a team-high 17.9 points per game.
• The 34.4 rebounds per game the Wildcats average rank 63rd in the nation, and are four more than the 30.4 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Malachi Moreno is 220th in college basketball play with 6.5 rebounds per game to lead the Wildcats.
• The Tigers are 176th in the nation at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 more than the 28.8 their opponents average.
• Mitchell's 5.2 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 513th in college basketball.
• Kentucky records 103.1 points per 100 possessions (61st in college basketball), while allowing 93.7 points per 100 possessions (138th in college basketball).
• The Tigers rank 72nd in college basketball averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 216th, allowing 96.5 points per 100 possessions.

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