Kentucky vs LSU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (19-12, 10-8 SEC) will play in the SEC tournament against the No. 16 seed LSU Tigers (15-16, 3-15 SEC), Wednesday at 12:30 p.m. ET live on SEC Network.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Kentucky vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kentucky win (71.7%)

Before placing a bet on Wednesday's Kentucky-LSU spread (Kentucky -8.5) or total (151.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Kentucky vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky is 15-16-0 ATS this season.
• LSU has put together an 18-13-0 record against the spread this year.
• LSU covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Kentucky covers as a favorite of 8.5 or more (54.5%).
• In home games, the Wildcats own an identical winning percentage against the spread as they do in road games (.500).
• The Tigers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). On the road, it is .800 (8-2-0).
• Against the spread, in conference action, Kentucky is 9-9-0 this year.
• LSU's SEC record against the spread is 11-7-0.

Kentucky vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (71.4%) in those contests.
• The Wildcats have a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by -450 or better by bookmakers this year.
• LSU has been the moneyline underdog 14 total times this season. LSU has gone 1-13 in those games.
• The Tigers have played six times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +340 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 81.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Kentucky vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Kentucky was seventh-best in college basketball on offense (84.4 points scored per game) and ranked 315th defensively (77.2 points allowed).
• Last season, Kentucky was 63rd in the nation in rebounds (34.1 per game) and 239th in rebounds conceded (32.1).
• Last season Kentucky was 17th-best in the nation in assists with 16.9 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, Kentucky was 108th in the country in committing them (10.4 per game) last season. It was 312th in forcing them (9.9 per game).
• LSU was 179th in the nation last year with 73.8 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 228th with 73.6 points allowed per game.
• LSU, who ranked 156th in college basketball with 32.4 boards per game, allowed 34.4 rebounds per contest, which was 21st-worst in college basketball.
• LSU delivered 12.8 dimes per game, which ranked them 241st in college basketball.
• Last year LSU averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (288th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 11.2 turnovers per contest (184th-ranked).

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