Illinois vs Wisconsin College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The No. 4 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (24-7, 15-5 Big Ten) and the No. 5 seed Wisconsin Badgers (23-9, 14-6 Big Ten) will try to advance in the Big Ten tournament on Friday as they square off at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Wisconsin Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Arena: United Center

Illinois vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (71.2%)

Illinois is an 8.5-point favorite over Wisconsin on Friday and the total has been set at 155.5 points. Below are some betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the matchup.

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Illinois vs. Wisconsin: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has covered 18 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• Wisconsin has put together a 17-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Illinois (12-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (60%) than Wisconsin (3-0) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (100%).
• When playing at home, the Fighting Illini have a worse record against the spread (10-7-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (6-4-0).
• This year, the Badgers are 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-3-0 ATS (.700).
• Illinois has beaten the spread 11 times in 20 conference games.
• Wisconsin has 13 wins against the spread in 21 Big Ten games this year.

Illinois vs. Wisconsin: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been the moneyline favorite in 21 games this season and has come away with the win 17 times (81%) in those contests.
• This season, the Fighting Illini have come away with a win 14 times in 16 chances when named as a favorite of at least -315 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Wisconsin has won 44.4% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-5).
• The Badgers have played in three games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +250 or longer and won them all.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois has a 75.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Illinois vs. Wisconsin Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois' +469 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 84.3 points per game (21st in college basketball) while giving up 69.1 per contest (56th in college basketball).
• Keaton Wagler's team-leading 17.9 points per game ranks 98th in the country.
• Wisconsin outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game (posting 83.3 points per game, 33rd in college basketball, and allowing 75.8 per contest, 234th in college basketball) and has a +241 scoring differential.
• Nicholas Boyd is 29th in the nation with a team-high 20.2 points per game.
• The 37.6 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini average rank sixth in college basketball, and are 9.7 more than the 27.9 their opponents grab per contest.
• David Mirkovic leads the team with 7.8 rebounds per game (91st in college basketball play).
• The Badgers grab 32.1 rebounds per game (174th in college basketball), compared to the 31.6 of their opponents.
• Nolan Winter is 47th in the country with 8.6 rebounds per game, leading the Badgers.
• Illinois averages 109.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (sixth in college basketball), and gives up 89.7 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).
• The Badgers average 106.9 points per 100 possessions (22nd in college basketball), while giving up 97.2 points per 100 possessions (234th in college basketball).

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