Idaho State vs Northern Arizona College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Sky Tournament

The No. 9 seed Idaho State Bengals (12-19, 5-13 Big Sky) are taking on the No. 10 seed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (10-21, 4-14 Big Sky) in the Big Sky tournament on Saturday at Idaho Central Arena, at 7:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Boise, Idaho
• Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Idaho State win (65.7%)

If you plan to place a wager on Idaho State-Northern Arizona contest (in which Idaho State is a 4.5-point favorite and the total is set at 141.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.

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Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Idaho State has covered 13 times in 28 chances against the spread this season.
• Northern Arizona has compiled a 14-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Northern Arizona is 9-10 against the spread compared to the 3-4 ATS record Idaho State racks up as a 4.5-point favorite.
• The Bengals have done a better job covering the spread in away games (7-8-0) than they have at home (5-6-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Lumberjacks have a better winning percentage at home (.538, 7-6-0 record) than away (.429, 6-8-0).
• Idaho State's record against the spread in conference play is 5-13-0.
• Northern Arizona has eight wins against the spread in 18 Big Sky games this season.

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Idaho State has won in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Bengals have been victorious four times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -215 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Northern Arizona has gone 4-20 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 16.7% of those games).
• The Lumberjacks are 2-14 (winning only 12.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +176 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Idaho State has a 68.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Head-to-Head Comparison

• Idaho State has a -55 scoring differential, falling short by 1.7 points per game. It is putting up 74.5 points per game to rank 219th in college basketball and is giving up 76.2 per contest to rank 242nd in college basketball.
• Connor Hollenbeck paces Idaho State, scoring 13.2 points per game (532nd in college basketball).
• Northern Arizona has been outscored by five points per game (posting 71.5 points per game, 281st in college basketball, while giving up 76.5 per outing, 248th in college basketball) and has a -155 scoring differential.
• Ryan Abelman is 961st in college basketball with a team-high 10.7 points per game.
• The Bengals average 30.3 rebounds per game (271st in college basketball) while allowing 27.6 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.7 boards per game.
• Caleb Van De Griend averages 6.3 rebounds per game (ranking 241st in college basketball) to lead the Bengals.
• The 27 rebounds per game the Lumberjacks accumulate rank 354th in the country, five fewer than the 32 their opponents pull down.
• Abelman leads the team with 5.2 rebounds per game (514th in college basketball).
• Idaho State puts up 99.8 points per 100 possessions (124th in college basketball), while giving up 102.2 points per 100 possessions (336th in college basketball).
• The Lumberjacks average 96.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (205th in college basketball), and give up 103.5 points per 100 possessions (349th in college basketball).

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