AU - Strathalbyn - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.7f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

16.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Very moderate maiden where OAK PARK MADDISON (11) gets chance. Has started five times and is city placed and stakes tested last time in as a juvenile. Solid fresh in far richer company and won't get a better chance to get off the mark. UNCOMMON MIND (7) ran on well to place two back then loomed up but couldn't go on last time. Senior rider goes on and worth another try. GAZELLE (10) placed on debut then finished fourth in the same race as Uncommon Mind. Has upside and expected to be in the finish. TINY BAY (5) wasn't disgraced in a richer maiden last time at Morphettville. Placed three back and in this on best figures. MIAMI MILLER (3) settled at the tail and made a bit of late ground fresh at Morphettville in a hot form race. This more suitable and fitter again can improve sharply.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Second-up. First-up after four months 7th of 12 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Damelli with 112lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up second last of 13 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Oaklands on June 28 over 7f, slow going 19 len behind Matahga with 119lbs at $21. Fitter and is expected to go close this line-up. 1st Pick 11 Oak Park Maddison Jockey: Alana Livesey Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Alana Livesey T: Travis Doudle	224	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 7th of 12 at Morphettville 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Damelli with 112lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up second last of 13 at Morphettville Parks in the LR Oaklands on June 28 over 7f, slow going 19 len behind Matahga with 119lbs at $21. Fitter and is expected to go close this line-up.
7	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Layin' Up with 121lbs at $12. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, slow going 1.1 len behind Southern Style with 121lbs at $20. An inside barrier is a big advantage. Loomed up last time but senior rider goes on and can finish much closer. 2nd Pick 7 Uncommon Mind Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: David Jolly & Justin Potter J: Stacey Metcalfe T: David Jolly & Justin Potter	89	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Layin' Up with 121lbs at $12. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, slow going 1.1 len behind Southern Style with 121lbs at $20. An inside barrier is a big advantage. Loomed up last time but senior rider goes on and can finish much closer.
10	Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, slow going 1.2 len behind Southern Style carrying 119lbs at $5. Second-up 4th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Layin' Up carrying 120lbs at $11. Plenty of scope for improvement and should run well. 3rd Pick 10 Gazelle Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Gary Boyce J: Rochelle Milnes T: Gary Boyce	98	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Penola 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on October 17 over 5f, slow going 1.2 len behind Southern Style carrying 119lbs at $5. Second-up 4th of 11 at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Layin' Up carrying 120lbs at $11. Plenty of scope for improvement and should run well.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.