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2:10 AM

AU - Strathalbyn - Race 1

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
16.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SMOTHER (4) is a former Maher trained galloper having first start for new yard. Has placed one of seven runs but this is the easiest assignment to date. Best ratings are a bit above these so expected to go close if presented on song. EMOTIVE (6) started huge odds at debut and led until the final few hops when just tipped out at Gawler. Drawn the rails and expected to take catching again. JURA VAUDOIS (8) has had plenty of tries but recorded six minors. Holder goes aboard and has good speed so likely to be in this for a long way. RULED BY THIEVES (2) has been safely held in far richer maidens lately at Morphettville. Better off here and can improve sharply. ILLUSTRATES (7) was safely held on debut then improved at second outing when midfield. Has the claim and with further improvement can sneak into the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Smother silk

Resumes. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw September 12 over 7f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Decanted with 131lbs at $13. Previously first up, sixth of 9 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn May 15 over 5 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Ningaloo Reef carrying 131lbs at $5. Former NSW/Victorian having first try for new yard this area and expected to go close.

1st Pick
4

Smother

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Michael Hickmott

J: Non Runner

T: Michael Hickmott

245---1%99/1

Analysis

Resumes. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Geelong Mdn-Sw September 12 over 7f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Decanted with 131lbs at $13. Previously first up, sixth of 9 at Hawkesbury Super Mdn May 15 over 5 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Ningaloo Reef carrying 131lbs at $5. Former NSW/Victorian having first try for new yard this area and expected to go close.

6
Emotive silk

Was at a huge quote at debut, set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Tahnee Territory with 123lbs at $71. Led and just missed on debut at huge odds and can give a sight again.

2nd Pick
6

Emotive

Jockey: Dylan Caboche

Trainer: Emma Hubbard

J: Dylan Caboche

T: Emma Hubbard

92---1%99/1

Analysis

Was at a huge quote at debut, set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 11 at Gawler 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 6 over 5 ½f, slow going long-neck behind Tahnee Territory with 123lbs at $71. Led and just missed on debut at huge odds and can give a sight again.

8
Jura Vaudois silk

Last start 8th of 11 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 6 len behind Jasstar with 123lbs at $11. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 8 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 4f, long-neck behind The Birthday Party carrying 127lbs at $7. Speedy mare with top jockey aboard and should take catching.

3rd Pick
8

Jura Vaudois

Jockey: Jason Holder

Trainer: Jyi Lukey

J: Jason Holder

T: Jyi Lukey

170---1%99/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 11 at Balaklava 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 12 over 5 ¼f, 6 len behind Jasstar with 123lbs at $11. The start before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 8 at Swan Hill Mdn-Sw on October 28 over 4f, long-neck behind The Birthday Party carrying 127lbs at $7. Speedy mare with top jockey aboard and should take catching.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.