Heat vs. Wizards Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 10

Heat vs. Wizards Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN and MNMT

The Washington Wizards (16-47) are big, 16-point underdogs as they attempt to break an eight-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (36-29) on Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The game airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and MNMT. The over/under in the matchup is set at 237.5.

Heat vs. Wizards Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Wizards Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (86.7%)

Heat vs. Wizards Betting Trends

• The Heat have put together a 39-25-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Wizards have played 63 games, with 26 wins against the spread.
• This season, 35 of the Heat's games have gone over the point total out of 63 chances.
• The Wizards have gone over the point total 52.4% of the time this year (33 of 63 games with a set point total).
• Miami has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 19 times in 32 games at home, and it has covered 20 times in 33 games on the road.
• Looking at over/unders, the Heat hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've exceeded the total 17 times in 32 opportunities this season (53.1%). On the road, they have hit the over 18 times in 33 opportunities (54.5%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Washington has a better winning percentage at home (.485, 16-17-0 record) than on the road (.333, 10-20-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Wizards' games have finished above the over/under at home (51.5%, 17 of 33) compared to on the road (53.3%, 16 of 30).

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 18.9 points, 9.8 boards and 2.9 assists.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 15.3 points, 4.6 assists and 5.3 boards.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.4 points, 9.3 boards and 0.5 assists, shooting 53.5% from the field and 39% from downtown, with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Davion Mitchell is averaging 8.8 points, 6.8 assists and 2.6 boards.
• Pelle Larsson is averaging 10.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists.

Wizards Leaders

• Alex Sarr averages 16.9 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is also draining 49.5% of his shots from the field and 33.6% from beyond the arc, with 1 trey per contest.
• Bub Carrington averages 9.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists. He is also sinking 39.6% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• The Wizards are getting 8.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Justin Champagnie.
• Tre Johnson averages 12.6 points, 2.8 boards and 2 assists. He is sinking 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 38% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per game.
• Bilal Coulibaly's numbers on the season are 10.4 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 41% of his shots from the floor and 28.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1 triples.

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