Grizzlies vs. Thunder NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 26

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: FedExForum -- Memphis, Tennessee
• Coverage: TNT, FDSSE, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy 15.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Saturday, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on TNT, FDSSE, and FDSOK. The Thunder hold a 3-0 series lead. The matchup has an over/under of 224 points.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (52.7%)

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• The Grizzlies have played 82 games, with 41 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 44 times this season.
• Grizzlies games this season have gone over the total in 47 of 82 opportunities (57.3%).
• When playing at home, Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record on the road (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• Memphis has performed better against the spread on the road (22-17-2) than at home (19-21-1) this year.
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Grizzlies' games have finished above the over/under at home (53.7%, 22 of 41) than away (61%, 25 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 36.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.8 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 12 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 38.3% from downtown, with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.2% from downtown, with an average of 2.4 made 3-pointers.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2 assists. He is also draining 48.8% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• Desmond Bane's numbers on the season are 19.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game. He is making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.2% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.4 triples.
• The Grizzlies get 23.2 points per game from Ja Morant, plus 4.1 rebounds and 7.3 assists.
• The Grizzlies get 9.9 points per game from Scotty Pippen Jr., plus 3.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists.
• Santi Aldama averages 12.5 points, 6.4 boards and 2.9 assists. He is sinking 48.3% of his shots from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per contest.

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