Gonzaga vs Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (31-3) will take to the court against the No. 11 seed Texas Longhorns (20-14) on Saturday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on the line. This game tips at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Gonzaga vs. Texas Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TBS
- Location: Portland, Oregon
- Arena: Moda Center
Gonzaga vs. Texas Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Gonzaga win (70.7%)
Here's a look at some betting insights for Gonzaga (-6.5) versus Texas on Saturday. The total is set at 147.5 points for this game.
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Gonzaga vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Gonzaga has put together a 19-15-0 record against the spread this season.
- Texas has put together an 18-15-0 record against the spread this season.
- Gonzaga covers the spread when it is a 6.5-point favorite or more 55.2% of the time. That's more often than Texas covers as an underdog of 6.5 or more (50%).
- The Bulldogs have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 14 games when playing at home, and they've covered six times in 10 games when playing on the road.
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Longhorns have a lower winning percentage at home (.471, 8-9-0 record) than on the road (.700, 7-3-0).
Gonzaga vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Gonzaga has been victorious in 26, or 89.7%, of the 29 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious 23 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -265 or better on the moneyline.
- Texas has gone 7-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.7% of those games).
- The Longhorns have a 1-7 record (winning only 12.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +215 or longer.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Gonzaga has a 72.6% chance of pulling out a win.
Gonzaga vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison
- Gonzaga outscores opponents by 18.9 points per game (scoring 84.8 per game to rank 18th in college basketball while giving up 65.9 per contest to rank 18th in college basketball) and has a +640 scoring differential overall.
- Graham Ike is 40th in the nation with a team-leading 19.7 points per game.
- Texas has a +233 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.9 points per game. It is putting up 83.2 points per game, 29th in college basketball, and is giving up 76.3 per outing to rank 244th in college basketball.
- Dailyn Swain's team-leading 17.6 points per game rank him 119th in the country.
- The Bulldogs record 36.1 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) while allowing 28.6 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.5 boards per game.
- Ike paces the team with 8.2 rebounds per game (71st in college basketball play).
- The Longhorns are 44th in the nation at 34.9 rebounds per game. That's 8.1 more than the 26.8 their opponents average.
- Swain's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Longhorns and rank 108th in college basketball.
- Gonzaga averages 106.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in college basketball), and allows 82.8 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
- The Longhorns rank 20th in college basketball with 106.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 254th defensively with 97.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
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