Florida vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 7

The Florida Gators (24-6, 15-2 SEC) aim to continue a seven-game road win streak when they visit the Kentucky Wildcats (19-11, 10-7 SEC) on March 7, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Lexington, Kentucky
• Arena: Rupp Arena

Florida vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (59.2%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you bet on Saturday's Florida-Kentucky spread (Florida -6.5) or total (162.5 points).

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Florida vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Kentucky is 15-15-0 ATS this season.
• When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, Florida (13-11) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (54.2%) than Kentucky (3-1) does as the underdog (75%).
• The Gators have a worse record against the spread at home (7-8-0) than they do in away games (8-1-0).
• The Wildcats have performed better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (5-5-0) this year.
• Florida has 13 wins against the spread in 17 conference games this season.
• Kentucky has nine wins against the spread in 17 SEC games this season.

Florida vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has won in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Gators have come away with a win 17 times in 20 chances when named as a favorite of at least -285 or better on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has won two of the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (22.2%).
• The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +230 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 74% chance of walking away with the win.

Florida vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida was the fifth-best squad in the nation in points scored (84.8 per game) and 91st in points conceded (69.6) last season.
• On the boards, Florida was second-best in college basketball in rebounds (39 per game) last year. It was 129th in rebounds allowed (30.4 per game).
• Florida was 61st in the nation in assists (15.4 per game) last season.
• Florida committed 10.6 turnovers per game last season and forced 11.1 per game, ranking 129th and 197th, respectively, in college basketball.
• Kentucky allowed 77.2 points per game last season (315th-ranked in college basketball), but it really played well on offense, putting up 84.4 points per contest (seventh-best).
• Kentucky ranked 63rd in the country with 34.1 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 239th with 32.1 rebounds allowed per contest.
• Kentucky tallied plenty of assists last year, ranking 17th-best in the country with 16.9 per game.
• With 10.4 turnovers per game, Kentucky was 108th in college basketball. It forced 9.9 turnovers per contest, which ranked 312th in college basketball.

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