Florida State vs Cal College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 9 seed California Golden Bears (21-10, 9-9 ACC) will square off in the ACC tournament against the No. 8 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-14, 10-8 ACC) on Wednesday at Spectrum Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida State vs. Cal Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

Florida State vs. Cal Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida State win (51.3%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Florida State-Cal contest (in which Florida State is a 3.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 152.5 points), here are some betting trends and insights for Wednesday's game.

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Florida State vs. Cal: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida State has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Cal has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Florida State (7-5) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (58.3%) than Cal (8-6) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (57.1%).
• The Seminoles sport a worse record against the spread when playing at home (10-7-0) than they do in away games (8-3-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Golden Bears have a lower winning percentage at home (.421, 8-11-0 record) than on the road (.700, 7-3-0).
• Florida State has beaten the spread 12 times in 18 conference games.
• Against the spread in ACC games, Cal is 9-9-0 this year.

Florida State vs. Cal: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida State has won in 12, or 80%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Seminoles have won eight of nine games when listed as at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
• Cal has won 35.7% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-9).
• The Golden Bears are 5-8 (winning just 38.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida State has a 65.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Florida State vs. Cal Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Florida State was 153rd in college basketball on offense (74.5 points scored per game) and 195th on defense (72.5 points conceded).
• On the boards, Florida State was 214th in the nation in rebounds (31.3 per game) last season. It was 217th in rebounds conceded (31.8 per game).
• With 13 assists per game last year, Florida State was 219th in the nation.
• Florida State committed 12.2 turnovers per game last year and forced 13 per game, ranking 277th and 50th, respectively, in college basketball.
• On offense, Cal scored 75.6 points per game (129th-ranked in college basketball) last year. It allowed 76.8 points per contest on defense (310th-ranked).
• With 33.4 rebounds per game, Cal ranked 90th in the country. It gave up 31.8 rebounds per contest, which ranked 217th in college basketball.
• Cal didn't put up many assists last year, ranking eighth-worst in college basketball with 10.5 assists per game.
• With 11.2 turnovers per game, Cal was 186th in college basketball. It forced 11.2 turnovers per contest, which ranked 184th in college basketball.

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