Florida State vs Cal College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-14, 10-8 ACC) and the No. 9 seed California Golden Bears (21-10, 9-9 ACC) meet in the ACC tournament Wednesday at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida State vs. Cal Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

Florida State vs. Cal Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida State win (50.8%)

Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Florida State (-3.5) versus Cal on Wednesday. The total is set at 152.5 points for this game.

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Florida State vs. Cal: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida State has put together an 18-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Cal is 16-14-0 ATS this year.
• As a 3.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Florida State is 7-5 against the spread compared to the 8-6 ATS record Cal puts up as a 3.5-point underdog.
• The Seminoles have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (8-3-0) than they have at home (10-7-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Golden Bears have a lower winning percentage at home (.421, 8-11-0 record) than on the road (.700, 7-3-0).
• Florida State has covered the spread 12 times in 18 conference games.
• Cal has beaten the spread nine times in 18 ACC games.

Florida State vs. Cal: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida State has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (80%) in those contests.
• This season, the Seminoles have been victorious eight times in nine chances when named as a favorite of at least -184 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Cal has been the underdog on the moneyline 14 total times this season. Cal has finished 5-9 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +152 or longer, the Golden Bears have gone 5-8 (38.5%).
• Florida State has an implied victory probability of 64.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Florida State vs. Cal Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, Florida State was the 153rd-ranked squad in college basketball (74.5 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was 195th (72.5 points allowed per game).
• Florida State was 214th in college basketball in rebounds per game (31.3) and 217th in rebounds allowed (31.8) last season.
• Florida State was 219th in college basketball in assists (13 per game) last season.
• At 12.2 turnovers committed per game and 13 turnovers forced last year, Florida State was 277th and 50th in the nation, respectively.
• Last season Cal scored 75.6 points per game (129th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 76.8 points per contest (310th-ranked).
• Cal grabbed 33.4 boards per game (90th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 31.8 rebounds per contest (217th-ranked).
• Cal delivered just 10.5 dimes per contest, which ranked eighth-worst in college basketball.
• Cal ranked 186th in the country with 11.2 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 184th with 11.2 forced turnovers per game.

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