Fantasy Football: Could Breece Hall Finish as the Top-Ranked Running Back?

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
Fantasy Football: Could Breece Hall Finish as the Top-Ranked Running Back?

Breece Hall didn't let a torn ACL in his rookie year stop him from showing out in his sophomore campaign.

Despite having to work with a disjointed New York Jets offense, Hall notched the second-most total yards among all running backs and the fourth-most in the league.

An ESPN survey conducted among NFL executives, coaches, and scouts named Hall as the second-best running back in the league ahead of the 2024-2025 season. Fantasy football managers could hold out similar hope, too.

Let's check out Hall's fantasy ceiling and decipher where he should be on fantasy boards.

Breece Hall Fantasy Football Outlook

Hall's 2023 Season

Last season, Hall rushed for 944 yards and 5 touchdowns. He supplemented this with work in the receiving game, grabbing 591 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.

These efforts were good for the fourth-most fantasy points in half-PPR scoring among running backs, just a hair behind Travis Etienne and Raheem Mostert with an expectedly larger gap between Christian McCaffrey and the pack.

There are a few things to keep in mind when digesting his 2023 campaign, and they will be key when dissecting his outlook for the upcoming season.

For starters, Hall participated in all 17 regular-season games, a luxury that isn't always afforded to players. So while he ranked fourth (and just a tad behind second and third) in half-PPR scoring, he fared sixth (tied) in fantasy points per game.

But although Hall had full potential from an availability perspective, the 2023 Jets were not a team that could unlock Hall's full performance potential.

A mushed New York offense was led by a trio of signal-callers in Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, and Tim Boyle. The year was practically dust as soon as Aaron Rodgers went down with a torn Achilles on the fourth snap of the season. We could venture to infer that New York opted to give their second-year stud a bit of workload management, especially since Hall was off the heels of an ACL injury. Hall was one of just two players to rank in the top eight of half-PPR scoring despite also receiving fewer than 225 carries.

Dalvin Cook ate up 67 carries for 214 yards and has since parted ways with the team. Rodgers is back, and the Jets own encouraging -170 playoff odds. A bit unlike 2023, it should be all systems go for Hall in the upcoming season.

How High is Hall's Ceiling in 2024?

New York's depth chart screeches in favor of Hall. Past him, the Jets only have Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis, a pair of late-round 2024 draft selections, in the backfield.

This speaks volumes. With Rodgers back and expectations high, we should expect the Jets to wring out Hall like a wet towel. Coming into his third season, Hall seems primed to enter his glory days of professional ball, and god knows how long Rodgers has left. Now is the time to capitalize.

This matters for the obvious reason -- higher usage translates to higher production. But, Hall is a special case.

In his two-year career, he has received at least 18 carries in four games. In this span, he totaled a mind-boggling 566 rushing yards along with five touchdowns. That's good for 113.2 rush yards and 1.25 rush touchdowns per game. Wowza.

Add in a voluminous role in the passing game, which included five 50-plus yard and three 75-plus yard games in 2023, and Hall has earned his spot as a clear target for fantasy managers.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently gives Hall the second-shortest odds (+1000) to lead the league in rushing yards this season behind only CMC.

According to FantasyPros' consensus average draft position (ADP) data, Hall holds an overall ADP of seven and is the third player taken at his position, behind CMC and Bijan Robinson.

numberFire's model projects Hall for 1,358.05 rushing yards (3rd) and 7.44 rush touchdowns (16th) as well as 537.90 receiving yards (3rd) and 3.61 receiving touchdowns (3rd). All are based on a full 17-game season. These projections are good for the second-most fantasy points at the position.

Based on expected usage and output, Hall looks to be the second-best option at running back. Since we've yet to see how lethal he is once fully unleashed and backed by a legit signal-caller -- not to mention a top-ranked offensive line -- Hall has a fighting chance to compete with CMC as the top-ranked fantasy running back in the 2024-2025 season.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.