NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Wednesday 3/20/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Wednesday 3/20/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

NBA DFS Picks

Wednesday's main slate on FanDuel features eight games but some dramatically different game environments.

For a full breakdown, see numberFire's matchup heat map.

Top matchups:

Other games:

Guards

Top Plays

Tyrese Maxey ($9,200) -- We have a few high-salary guards to consider tonight, but Tyrese Maxey takes the cake. Maxey has scored exactly 30 real-world points in three straight games, most recently exploding for 57.6 FanDuel points (FPs) against Miami. Phoenix is a slightly better matchup, and this is one of just two games with a single-digit spread. I like Maxey's upside more than some of the other high-salary guards with wider spreads. Maxey To Score 30+ Points is +115 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Malik Monk ($7,300) -- Sacramento is one of three teams with an implied total of at least 122 tonight, so I'm into Malik Monk in a soft matchup. Monk can be inconsistent on a deep Kings roster, but he's established a nice ceiling with six 38-FP outings over his last nine games. It helps that the Raptors have struggled on the perimeter. Over the last 15 games, Toronto has given up the ninth-most FPPG to PGs and the 11th-most to SGs, per FantasyPros. The upside is there with Monk.

Others to Consider

Desmond Bane ($8,000) -- Rust? What rust? Desmond Bane has played 31 and 37 minutes in his first two games back, notching 36.1 and 44 FPs, respectively. He registered a 29% usage rate in those two, taking hold of a hobbled Memphis rotation. I don't love the total (219), nor the matchup -- Golden State is 10th in defensive rating since the All-Star break -- but we need to take advantage of Bane's mid-range salary while we can. He's rocking a 41.7-FP numberFire projection, the highest among SGs.

Dalano Banton ($5,700) -- So this Dalano Banton guy, he's pretty good, huh? Banton has taken the Blazers by storm this month, averaging 30 minutes and 30.7 FPPG since March 1st. Per RotoGrinders CourtIQ, he's registered a 26% usage rate over that span.Malcolm Brogdon and Shaedon Sharpe remain out, and Jerami Grant is doubtful. That should allow Banton to see a nice dose of minutes and provide value even in a tough matchup. numberFire projects him for 30.1 FPs (5.28 FPs per $1,000).

Wings

Top Plays

Paul George ($8,600) -- I'd rather save salary at wing tonight, but there's a lot to like with Paul George. PG-13 has been positively cooking in recent games, averaging 47.7 FPPG over his last three outings. A lopsided spread (LAC -12.5) is a bit worrisome, but Portland could keep things close at home. It helps that George went for 44.6 and 46.6 FPs in two prior matchups with the Blazers and that they've given up the second-most FPPG to SFs over the last 15 games. George's points prop is set at 22.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bruce Brown ($5,300) -- With Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, and Immanuel Quickley all out for Toronto, Bruce Brown Jr. could end up being the top perimeter option for a team facing the fast-paced Kings. Those three haven't all missed the same game before, but Brown's recent production (26.8 FPPG L4) supports a favorable projection. numberFire pegs Brown for 32.1 FPs, making him the best point-per-dollar value among wings -- and second-best overall (6.06 FPs per $1,000).

Others to Consider

Jalen Williams ($8,200) -- Given the lopsided spread (OKC -15.5), I don't want to overexposure myself to the Thunder... but a date with Utah is hard to pass up. The Jazz are 29th in defensive rating since the All-Star break, while Oklahoma City has the slate's highest implied total (123.75). I'll put my eggs in Jalen Williams' basket. J-Dub is coming off a pair of 47-FP outings and went for 52.6 and 40.5 FPs in his last two matchups with Utah.

Kelly Oubre ($6,800) -- I'm more interested in Kelly Oubre if Tobias Harris (questionable) sits, but either wing matches up well with Phoenix. The Suns have given up the most FPPG to SFs over the last 15 games, and they're down to 23rd in defensive rating since the All-Star break. Dating back to March 1st, Harris is averaging 34.5 FPPG and Oubre is averaging 33.6. This is one of the few games that could be competitive tonight.

Bigs

Top Plays

Domantas Sabonis ($10,900) -- Domantas Sabonis carries the highest numberFire projection (52.5) tonight. In a mouth-watering matchup with Toronto, that could be the floor. The Raptors are down to 24th in defensive rating and 28th in rebound rate since the All-Star break, and they've given up the sixth-most points in the paint over that span. Meanwhile, Sabonis continues to cook. He's gone for 50 FPs in 10 of 13 games since the break, averaging 53.7 FPPG over that span. He's easily the top option for me.

Jontay Porter ($4,700) -- With Sabonis eligible at both big spots, I'm more than happy turning to Jontay Porter at center. Jakob Poeltl will miss his eighth straight game tonight. In the last four games without him, Porter's averaged 23 minutes and 28.2 FPPG. The Spurs have given up the third-most FPPG to centers over their last 15 games, so the matchup is ripe for the taking. numberFire projects Porter for 29.9 FPs, making him the top point-per-dollar player on the slate (6.35 FPs per $1,000).

Others to Consider

Myles Turner ($6,900) -- If you want to allocate a bit more salary toward your five-man, Myles Turner is a capable mid-range option. Though Turner's coming off a pair of quiet outings, he's set up for success against Detroit. This will be his fourth matchup with the Pistons, previously posting 54, 44.1, and 38.7 FPs. With Detroit allowing the eighth-most FPPG to centers over the last 15 games, another big game is on the table. Turner's points + rebounds prop is set at 23.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook -- a total he exceeded in all three prior meetings with Detroit.

Taylor Hendricks ($5,100) -- Taylor Hendricks hasn't missed a beat since returning from a brief absence, averaging 26.7 FPPG. Two of those three games came against Minnesota's top-rated defense, so I'm not too worried about this matchup with OKC. While the Thunder are fifth in defensive rating, they're just 19th in rebound rate over the last 15 games. In that sample, they've given up the seventh-most FPPG to centers, highlighting their struggles underneath. The 'rook is my favorite PF value and the fourth-best based on numberFire's model (26.1-FP projection; 5.11 FPs per $1,000).


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.