FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks and Helper: Sunday 6/9/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks and Helper: Sunday 6/9/24

Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups.

Be sure to also incorporate numberFire's great tools into your research process, including daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, and batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups.

Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.


Pitchers to Target

Tarik Skubal ($10,600)

Sunday's main slate brings plenty of quality options, but it's hard to not put Tarik Skubal ($10,600) at the top given his body of work this season.

Skubal is fourth among all qualifiers with a 2.69 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA), and he's in the 85th percentile or better in expected batting average (.205 xBA), average exit velocity (87.1 mph), strikeout rate (30.5%), and walk rate (4.6%). All of those things consider, I'd tab the southpaw as baseball's best pitcher in 2024.

The Detroit Tigers are looking to nab one off the Milwaukee Brewers to close their series today, and Skubal's presence will help that cause. Milwaukee has just a 96 wRC+ as a team against lefties, and they're prone to strike out in the split (22.8% rate).

At 35.9 projected fantasy points, the pending All-Star is our MLB projections' top pick at the position today, yet he likely won't be heavily rostered due to quality alternatives and a high-salaried stack that's well-positioned.

Bailey Ober ($7,500)

There are three stud pitchers I'd be totally comfortable rostering on this slate, so a value one should be contrarian in single-entry formats today. Bailey Ober ($7,500) could be the one that pays off.

The towering right-hander hasn't had quite the season the Minnesota Twins were hoping for, and I'm not expecting him to be popular today after failing to eclipse 12 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts. However, against the low-whiff (and high-powered) New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals, and Cleveland Guardians, those results are a bit more understandable.

Overall, Ober's 3.91 SIERA isn't too far off from last year's (3.87), and his 23.6% K rate is extremely healthy. I'm expecting better results in softer matchups soon -- perhaps as soon as today's outing against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh has been one of the league's worst offenses against righties, posting the second-worst OPS (.637) and ISO (.118) in MLB. They've also punched out at the fifth-highest rate (25.4%) in the split.

While Skubal tops our overall ranks, Ober (30.6 projected fantasy points) grades out as the best value plug at salary.

Others to Consider

  • Cole Ragans ($10,200)
  • Grayson Rodriguez ($9,800)
    • After Kyle Bradish went six scoreless on Saturday with nine punchouts, it's hard to not like Rodriguez's chances given a comprable 3.67 SIERA and 10.14 K/9. He'll likely be the least popular of the three aces.

Stacks to Target

Chicago Cubs

Coors Field isn't a factor on Sunday's main slate, so the best park to target is in Cincinnati.

With that the case, I'm selling Frankie Montas after the righty's sensational effort in Denver last week when his profile is still concerning entering this date with the Cubbies. Montas' 4.58 SIERA comes with elevated hard-hit (39.8%) and flyball (39.8%) rates, and his 9.9% swinging-strike rate simply isn't that imposing.

Personally, he gives Chicago a chance to take a single game out of this series -- especially when so many of their high-profile bats profile to succeed. Montas has surrendered 1.67 HR/9 to lefties, and Cody Bellinger ($3,400), Ian Happ ($3,400), and Mike Tauchman ($2,800) will all take their cuts from that side of the dish.

I'm not sure there's an escape anywhere in the lineup when righties Christopher Morel ($3,500) and Seiya Suzuki ($3,300) also sport a .175 ISO or better in the split.

The Cubs' 4.66-run implied team total is sneaky for a team that hasn't topped that mark in three games at "Great American Small Park" yet.

St. Louis Cardinals

Another team worth a shout on today's slate is the Cardinals.

Even down two games to one in their series with the Colorado Rockies, I'm sure Cards fans are happy just to finally see the team scoring runs. They've posted 15 in three games with a matchup against Colorado's Ty Blach to keep it rolling.

Blach is designed to succeed in the Rockies' home park, but he's still a very gettable lefty. His 11.4% strikeout rate leaves plenty of balls in play, and a modest 38.6% of them have been hit hard this season. His 5.20 expected ERA (xERA) -- even adjusting for park -- is poor, and he'll give way to the league's second-worst bullpen by xFIP (4.58) when he departs.

I want to note that this stack should probably exclude Nolan Arenado ($2,800) until he can top a 40 wRC+ against lefties this season. Nolan Gorman ($3,400), Masyn Winn ($3,100), and Paul Goldschmidt ($2,800) are the top performers by wRC+ against southpaws.

St. Louis' 4.91-run implied total is second-highest on the entire slate.

Others to Consider

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.