MLB

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks and Helper: Sunday 6/2/24

Austin Swaim
Austin SwaimASwaim3
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks and Helper: Sunday 6/2/24

Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups.

Be sure to also incorporate numberFire's great tools into your research process, including daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, and batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups.

Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

MLB DFS Picks

Pitchers to Target

Freddy Peralta ($10,700)

On a slate lacking top-end pitching talent, it's hard to argue against Freddy Peralta ($10,700) other than looking no further than Chris Sale's blowup in a similar matchup on Saturday.

Peralta has taken the reigns as the Milwaukee Brewers' stopper with grace in 2024. He's compiled a sparkling 2.95 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) with a massive strikeout rate (32.5%). The righty has topped 35 FanDuel points in 7 of his 11 contests.

Today, he draws arguably the weakest offense in all of baseball in the form of the Chicago White Sox. Chicago's 74 wRC+ against right-handers is unfortunately their better split, and they strike out a decent amount inside of it (23.1% of the time).

This spot isn't sneaking up on anyone, so popularity -- just like Sale yesterday -- could be something to consider. Nonetheless, Chicago's 2.54 implied team total sits at the embarrassing mark for good reason.

Ben Brown ($8,800)

Specifically in tournaments, I love pivoting to Ben Brown ($8,800) with higher-quality offenses as most try to jam in whatever fits with Peralta.

The wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field today, putting pitchers on the menu. Brown and Nick Lodolo form a solid pair of them, which is why this game's total sits at a miniscule 7.0 runs. Don't doubt the rookie's ability to outduel the Cincinnati Reds' excellent lefty, though.

That's partially due to Brown's ability -- and Lodolo's supporting offense. The Chicago Cubs' righty has posted a stellar 3.12 SIERA in his first year of work, amassing a 29.7% strikeout rate that seems plenty sustainable with a 13.2% rate of swinging strikes behind it. Now, Brown is allowing more hard contact (55.4%) than any starter in baseball, so his salary is no free pass.

Nonetheless, the Reds are an offense that will give right-handers their best chance to succeed. Always adjusting for park, Cincinnati's 81 wRC+ against them is third-worst in baseball, and they're striking out against righties at the second-highest rate in the majors (27.2%).

As it sits, Brown draws the friendliest matchup he could with modest weather on Sunday. He can absolutely deliver with a boatload of Ks.

Others to Consider

  • Cole Ragans ($9,600)
    • The San Diego Padres' low strikeout rate against southpaws (17.1%) leaves him too far down the pecking order with Peralta, Brown, and Lodolo all enjoying lower projected opposing team totals and better matchups for whiffs.
  • Nick Lodolo ($9,400)
    • Lodolo is probably the "sharp" side for the underdog Reds when the Baby Bears have a .673 OPS against lefties in their own right. His 3.01 SIERA only trails Peralta on the slate.

Stacks to Target

Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays don't really work with Peralta, which only adds to the appeal of them if pivoting to a hurler in Chi Town.

Toronto draws Quinn Priester of the Pittsburgh Pirates to close out their three-game interleague series, and that's not ideal news for Priester. Bouncing back and forth between Triple-A and The Show, Priester has an ugly 4.98 expected ERA (xERA), and the sinkerballer's 13.8% strikeout rate leaves plenty to chance.

Plus, once the right-hander departs, he'll give way to the league's eighth-worst bullpen by xFIP (4.26).

This is all welcome news for a Blue Jays squad that seems to be finding its stride at the dish, improving to a .691 OPS overall against righties on the season after early woes. Credit the change to bumping Davis Schneider ($3,600) and Danny Jansen ($3,100) up the order and in front of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,200) and Bo Bichette ($3,400). The latter two have at least a .725 OPS themselves in the split.

Coming off an 8-1 drubbing on Saturday, I'll take the over on Toronto's 4.76-run implied team total.

Texas Rangers

Another high-salaried stack to consider is the Texas Rangers.

The Miami Marlins are a familiar punching bag, but that's been especially the case with Trevor Rogers' 5.65 ERA toeing the slab. Rogers' SIERA (4.53) suggests better days ahead, yet his 48.0% hard-hit remains there to be shelled. It's never good news with a sinkerballer is giving up more than a homer per nine (1.06 HR/9).

When Rogers is finished, the Rangers will draw the league's 10th-worst reliever xFIP (4.19), too. That's especially welcome news for the red-hot Corey Seager ($4,300) should he be included in the stack given Seager's awful 68 wRC+ in same-sided matchups this season.

Treading carefully around suboptimal parts, Adolis Garcia ($3,800) and Marcus Semien ($3,700) always stand out against lefties. They've pummeled them for at least a .210 ISO each. Robbie Grossman ($2,500) isn't a bad addition, either, with a 110 wRC+ in the split.

With two bad bullpens and a few poor starters scheduled this Texas-Miami series, I've been waiting for a true monsoon from either offense. It could come Sunday from Texas against the struggling lefty.

Others to Consider

  • Milwaukee Brewers
    • The secret is out on Milwaukee's success against RHP, and they'll be enormously popular behind their pitcher against Nick Nastrini's 9.22 ERA. All I'll say is that, in tournaments, be careful ending up on the same square as everyone else on such a huge slate.
  • Miami Marlins
    • I went to Miami yesterday and came up totally empty. With pause, Andrew Heaney (1.43 HR/9) is a guy I always circle to target on any slate, and the Marlins' dreadful offense is testing my limit of that today. Their low salaries help a ton in Peralta lineups, though.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.