Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Turkey: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Turkey: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is into the quarterfinals, and FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Saturday at 3 p.m. ET, Turkey (42nd in the FIFA rankings) take on the Netherlands (7th) in the final quarterfinal clash.

What do you need to know ahead of this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Netherlands vs. Turkey: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Netherlands vs. Turkey Odds

  • Netherlands to Win: -170
  • Turkey to Win: +500
  • Draw: +300
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -134
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: +110
  • Netherlands to Advance: -385
  • Turkey to Advance: +290

Netherlands vs. Turkey Analysis

Turkey got to the quarterfinals via a thrilling 2-1 win over Austria in what may wind up being the best match of Euro 2024, with goalie Mert Gunok making an incredible late save to secure the victory. By expected goals (xG) -- according to FBRef's xG model -- Turkey were very lucky as Austria won the xG battle 3.1-0.9.

In the group phase, Turkey picked up wins over Georgia (3-1) and the Czech Republic (2-1) sandwiched around a loss to Portugal (2-0).

In Turkey's matches against Portugal and Austria -- their two toughest foes so far -- Turkey have conceded 5.0 xG and generated just 1.6 xG.

The Netherlands were convincing in a 3-0 Round-of-16 triumph over Romania, prevailing 2.7-0.3 on xG. It was an impressive showing, and the Netherlands are listed at +650 odds to win Euro 2024, benefitting from being on the easier side of the bracket.

The Dutch suffered a group-stage defeat versus an elite France side, but other than that game, Holland's combined xG tally over their other three matches is 4.6-3.0 in their favor.

Netherlands vs. Turkey Prediction

Opta's model sees the Netherlands as a big favorite, giving them a 58.1% chance to win, compared to Turkey's 19.7% win odds.

MasseyRatings has things a little more even but still favors the Dutch by a wide margin, projecting the Netherlands to win 48% of the time, with Turkey's win odds at 25%.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook list the Netherlands at -170 to win in regulation. The -170 moneyline implies win odds of 62.0%.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.