Soccer

Euro 2024 Group D Betting Odds: France Favored Among a Strong Bunch

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
Euro 2024 Group D Betting Odds: France Favored Among a Strong Bunch

The European Championship -- also known as Euro 2024 -- will start on Friday, June 14th.

Let's get prepped for the action by diving into Group D.

All betting odds come from the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Euro 2024 Group D

(FIFA ranking in parenthesis)

  • France (2nd)
  • Netherlands (7th)
  • Austria (25th)
  • Poland (28th)

Euro 2024 Outright Winner Odds

  • France: +380
  • Netherlands: +1600
  • Austria: +6500
  • Poland: +16000

Odds to Win Group D

  • France: -180
  • Netherlands: +290
  • Austria: +750
  • Poland : +1700

Odds to Advance Out of Group D

  • France: -3500
  • Netherlands: -430
  • Austria: -155
  • Poland: +150

Odds to Reach the Quarterfinals

  • France: -360
  • Netherlands: -115
  • Austria: +240
  • Poland: +550

Group D Schedule

  • Matchday 1
    • Poland vs. Netherlands, June 16th, 9:00 a.m. EST
    • Austria vs. France, June 17th, 3:00 p.m. EST
  • Matchday 2
    • Poland vs. Austria, June 21st, 12 p.m. EST
    • Netherlands vs. France, June 21st, 3:00 p.m. EST
  • Matchday 3
    • France vs. Poland, June 25th, 12 p.m. EST
    • Netherlands vs Austria, June 25th, 12 p.m. EST

Group D Team-by-Team Outlook

France

One of the best teams in the world, France is looking to win their first European Championship since 2000. They got close in 2016, losing the final in extra time. They went on to win the World Cup two years later.

They nearly won the World Cup again in 2022, losing in a penalty shootout. Being the second-best favorites for this tournament means they can be expected to go deep again.

In qualifying, France was as dominant as expected. They won seven of their eight games, scoring 29 goals and conceding only 3.

They will be led in attack by Kylian Mbappe, of course. Mbappe has 11 goals in the past two World Cups but didn't score any in the last Euros. He's the favorite to win the Golden Boot and had nine goals in qualifying, so we should expect him to do well here.

France has many other talented forwards who will contribute to their success. Ousmane Dembele is coming off a good season with Paris St-Germain; he finished tied for the most assists in Ligue 1. Olivier Giroud may not be the most exciting player at age 36, but he is great for his fellow forwards in holding up the ball and allowing them to run beyond him from a center forward spot.

They had a few hiccups in defense in the last tournament. This should be solved with the in-form William Saliba, who had a great season for Arsenal. The return of N'Golo Kante to midfield will also help their defense, as well. He should be able to cover a lot of ground.

The French have an impressive team, they are experienced going deep in major tournaments, and have almost as good of a chance to win this tournament as any other country.

Netherlands

Probably the most successful country in world soccer that has never won a World Cup, the Netherlands posted their one tournament victory back in the 1988 Euros. They often have one the more talented squads and have used revolutionary tactics in tournaments past.

They lost to France twice during qualifying, so that match on Matchday 2 is a chance at revenge for them. Other than that, they won every other match in their group.

The Netherlands don't have the most talent this time around. They are really lacking an elite forward. They do have some good players like Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo, who are more wide forwards than center forwards that will score a lot of goals.

In midfield, Frenkie de Jong will miss the tournament due to injury. The Dutch have some talented youngsters to use in midfield like Ryan Gravenberch and Xavi Simons, but they don't dictate play with their passing in the same way de Jong does.

In defense, they have many talented center backs, with the likes of Virgil Van Dijk, Matthijs de Ligt and Stefan de Vrij likely being the starting three. Behind them, Micky van de Ven and Nathan Ake are suitable replacements if one of these players has to miss a game.

The Netherlands aren't a top-tier contender, but they are right below that and have a chance to go deep in the tournament if things break right.

Austria

Prior to the expanded 24-team field being introduced in 2016, Austria had only been in the European Championship when they were the joint hosts in 2008. Now, they’ve qualified for three straight tournaments.

Austria has been in good form under new manager Ralf Rangnick. They only lost one match in qualifying, and that was an understandable defeat against Belgium. They won five in a row after that loss and beat fellow tournament participants Germany, Slovakia, and Turkey in the last three matches by a combined score of 10-1.

Unfortunately, Austria’s chances in this tournament took a big blow when captain David Alaba suffered a torn ACL in December. Alaba has been Austria’s best player for a decade and plays in a number of different positions for his country.

Without him, they are lacking in talent. Their best player is probably Marcel Sabitzer, who is coming off of a good season with Dortmund. He can play in the center of midfield alongside Konrad Laimer and Florian Kainz in a 4-3-3 system.

They are lacking a truly great option up front with Marko Arnautovic being 35 years old and having scored just seven goals in 34 appearances for Inter Milan this season. Michael Gregoritsch is the only other forward on the team with more than two goals for the national team.

In another group, Austria might have a better chance of qualifying, but facing France and the Netherlands will make it difficult for them. However, if they can get a draw in one of those matches and beat Poland, four points may be enough to sneak in as a third-place team.

Poland

You can make an argument that with the talent they have, Poland is one of the most underachieving countries in world soccer.

They have qualified for the past four Euros but only have advanced past the group stage one time. They did make it out of their group at the 2022 World Cup but lost to France 3-1 in the Round of 16.

Poland's qualifying campaign left a lot to be desired. They finished third in a group that was won by Albania, failed to beat Moldova in two tries, and had to qualify via the playoffs. In the playoff final, they beat Wales on penalties to make it to the tournament.

They still have an elite striker in Robert Lewandowski -- something most teams in the tournament can't say. His goal scoring rate for the national team is 0.55 per game. That's a solid rate, but it pales in comparison to the ridiculous 0.92 he scored for Bayern Munich. In his last two seasons with Barcelona, he's been at 0.62, so perhaps being 35 years old is starting to catch up with him.

The other position where Poland are in good hands is in goal. Wojciech Szczesny has been Juventus' goalie for the past seven seasons and won Serie A Goalkeeper of the Year in 2020.

Piotr Zielinski will be their main creative force in midfield and was the first outfield player to win the Polish Footballer of the Year award not named Robert Lewandowski since 2011. The midfield has been a problem for them in past tournaments as they just don't have the technical ability that the top teams do. Outside of Zielinski, that's true again here.

A big blow to the team is the absence of Arkadiusz Milik. He would have given them two strikers that would be difficult for teams to contain.

It's hard to see Poland competing in this group that has three quality teams, so it appears likely that their tournament will end in the group stage again this go-round.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.