Soccer

Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds: Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane Enter as the Favorites

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds: Kylian Mbappe, Harry Kane Enter as the Favorites

The 2024 European Championship kicks off in Germany next week, and it should be an exciting tournament.

We have plenty of different ways to bet on the tourney. We can look at who's going to win the groups, who will make it to the knockout round and who will win it all.

Today, we're going to look at the Golden Boot. It's awarded to the player who scores the most goals in the tournament, with assists being the first tiebreaker.

Here are the Euro 2024 Golden Boot odds, as listed on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds

Player
Odds
Kylian Mbappe+470
Harry Kane+550
Cristiano Ronaldo+1600
Jude Bellingham+1900
Romelu Lukaku+2100

Kylian Mbappe, France (+470)

The favorite to win the Golden Boot is Kylian Mbappe. He's made a huge impact on the last two World Cups, winning the Golden Boot in the 2022 tournament. He has yet to score a goal at a Euro tourney and will be trying to change that this time around.

Mbappe has been one of the best goal-scorers in the world since he joined PSG in 2017. He has been the Ligue 1 top goal-scorer for each of the past six seasons. For France, he has 46 goals in 77 games.

When considering who will win the Golden Boot, there are two key factors that don't have to do with only the player's skill level. The first is the team's overall chances of going deep in the tournament. Mbappe checks that box as France is the second-favorite to win the tournament, listed at +380 odds to win Euro 2024.

The second factor to consider is the strength of the group the team is in. If a player can rack up goals against some of the weakest teams in the tournament, it can go a long way toward helping that player score the most goals. In the latter stages, there are often fewer goals as the teams tend to play more defensively as the level of competition heightens.

France has the Netherlands, Austria and Poland in their group. It's definitely not the easiest group, as all of these teams are capable of making the knockout round. France is still the second favorite in odds to be the tourney's leading-scoring team (+340) despite the tougher group.

Mbappe will likely take all penalty kicks for France, and that also boosts his chances of finishing with the most goals.

Harry Kane, England (+550)

If Mbappe isn't the most deadly goal-scorer over the past handful of seasons, then it might be Harry Kane.

Kane made the switch from Tottenham to Bayern Munich last summer, and it only accelerated his goal-scoring. He netted a career-high 44 goals in 45 games in all competitions this past season with Bayern. His 36 Bundesliga goals won him the European Golden Shoe, which is given to the player with the most league goals on the continent.

He's no stranger to delivering for England, either. Kane is England's top goal-scorer of all time, with 62 goals in 89 appearances. He also won the World Cup Golden Boot in 2018 and finished one goal off the top spot in Euro 2020.

England's group consists of Slovenia, Denmark, and Serbia. They are odds-on favorites to win each of these games, so Kane should have a good chance of scoring in all three matches.

The Three Lions are also favorites to win the entire tournament (+320) and the favorites to be the highest-scoring team (+270). It would be helpful if they don't have a letdown 0-0 game in the group stage against a team they are better than, like they have in the past two tournaments. But all in all, Kane's Golden Boot case is pretty rock solid.

Cristiano Ronaldo, Portugal (+1600)

In 2004, Cristiano Ronaldo scored two goals at age 19 to help hosts Portugal reach the final of the tournament.

Fast forward 20 years, and he's the third-favorite to win the Golden Boot in 2024. It may appear a bit crazy on the surface, considering he hasn't played in Europe since 2022, but it actually makes some sense.

Ronaldo scored 10 goals in the qualifying rounds -- the second-most of any player. Even if a lot of his game has fallen off, CR7 can still score goals at age 39.

Portugal has one of the softer groups in the tournament. They will face Georgia, Czechia and Turkey, and they are -210 favorites to win the group. In Euro 2020, Ronaldo won the Golden Boot by recording five goals in three group stage matches.

Ronaldo is the all-time leader in goals in the European Championship with 14, and he'll definitely be looking to add to that in this tournament. One big outburst in a lopsided group-stage win could propel him up the goal-scoring charts.

Jude Bellingham, England (+1900)

Everyone recognized the talent of Jude Bellingham before he moved to Real Madrid, but most people probably didn't know he could be as good of a goal-scorer as he was this past season.

Bellingham poured in 23 goals in 42 matches this season after having just 24 goals in his career previously. Real Madrid utilized him in a different way, allowing him to drive forward from midfield and be a key feature in their attack.

England are unlikely to use him in quite the same fashion. They are more likely to build their attack through Kane and their other forwards. England manager Gareth Southgate is sometimes too conservative and may not push Bellingham forward as much as Real Madrid did.

However, Bellingham benefits from the same team-level factors as Kane but won't be taking penalties. If I was looking to bet a long shot on England, I'd probably look at Phil Foden (+2900) or Bukayo Saka (+3400) at longer odds.

Romelu Lukaku, Belgium (+2100)

As was the case with Ronaldo, it feels like Romelu Lukaku has been around forever. Lukaku is only 31, though, and has a legitimate chance of winning this award.

Lukaku led the qualifying matches with 14 goals, four more than Ronaldo in second. He has an incredible goal-scoring record for Belgium, scoring 83 times in 114 games. He didn't have the best season with Roma, but he was playing for a mid-table side that was managed by the notoriously defensive Jose Mourinho for a good chunk of the season.

Now, he'll be playing for one of the better teams in the tournament. That's especially true in the group stage, where Belgium are -170 to finish top of a group consisting of Ukraine, Romania and Slovakia. That should give Lukaku plenty of opportunities to score goals before the knockout round.

Lukaku will benefit from playing with Kevin De Bruyne, one of the best passers in the world. Getting these odds on one of the best international goal-scorers, I certainly don't mind taking a shot on Lukaku at +2100.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.