Colorado State vs Fresno State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18, 7-13 MWC) will square off in the MWC tournament against the No. 7 seed Colorado State Rams (20-11, 11-9 MWC) on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Colorado State win (68.5%)

Check out these betting trends and insights before you wager on Wednesday's Colorado State-Fresno State spread (Colorado State -6.5) or total (144.5 points).

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Colorado State vs. Fresno State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Colorado State has compiled an 18-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Fresno State has covered 19 times in 30 matchups with a spread this year.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Colorado State is 7-4 against the spread compared to the 7-6 ATS record Fresno State puts up as a 6.5-point underdog.
• The Rams have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 16 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered six times in 11 opportunities on the road.
• This season, the Bulldogs are 12-5-0 at home against the spread (.706 winning percentage). Away, they are 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Colorado State is 10-10-0 this year.
• Fresno State has beaten the spread 14 times in 20 MWC games.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Colorado State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (77.8%) in those games.
• The Rams have a mark of 9-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -319 or better on the moneyline.
• Fresno State is 5-14 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26.3% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +255 or longer in 12 chances.
• Colorado State has an implied victory probability of 76.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Head-to-Head Comparison

• At 75.2 points scored per game and 67.3 points conceded last year, Colorado State was 138th in the country offensively and 48th on defense.
• Colorado State collected 31.7 rebounds per game and conceded 29.1 boards last season, ranking 188th and 56th, respectively, in the nation.
• Last season Colorado State was 24th-best in college basketball in assists with 16.5 per game.
• Colorado State was 164th in college basketball in turnovers per game (11) and 250th in turnovers forced (10.5) last year.
• Fresno State was ranked 265th in college basketball offensively last season with 70.7 points per game, while defensively it was seventh-worst (80.7 points allowed per game).
• Fresno State, who ranked 221st in college basketball with 31.2 boards per game, allowed 37.5 rebounds per contest, which was -4-worst in college basketball.
• In terms of assists, Fresno State delivered just 10.8 per contest (13th-worst in college basketball).
• With 12.3 turnovers per game, Fresno State was 288th in college basketball. It forced 12.4 turnovers per contest, which ranked 79th in college basketball.

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