Colorado State vs Fresno State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Colorado State Rams (20-11, 11-9 MWC) are squaring off against the No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18, 7-13 MWC) in the MWC tournament on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, at 9 p.m. ET airing on MW Network.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: MW Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Colorado State win (68.7%)

Check out the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Wednesday's Colorado State-Fresno State spread (Colorado State -6.5) or over/under (144.5 points).

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Colorado State vs. Fresno State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Colorado State has compiled an 18-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Fresno State has compiled a 19-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Colorado State is 7-4 against the spread compared to the 7-6 ATS record Fresno State puts up as a 6.5-point underdog.
• The Rams have done a better job covering the spread at home (9-7-0) than they have in road games (6-5-0).
• Against the spread, the Bulldogs have been better at home (12-5-0) than away (6-5-0).
• Colorado State has covered the spread 10 times in 20 conference games.
• Fresno State's MWC record against the spread is 14-6-0.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Colorado State has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (77.8%) in those contests.
• This year, the Rams have won nine of 10 games when listed as at least -315 or better on the moneyline.
• Fresno State has a 5-14 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26.3% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have played 12 times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +250 or longer, and lost each game.
• Colorado State has an implied victory probability of 75.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Colorado State scored 75.2 points per game and gave up 67.3 last season, making them 138th in the country offensively and 48th defensively.
• Colorado State was 188th in the nation in rebounds per game (31.7) and 56th in rebounds allowed (29.1) last season.
• Last season Colorado State was 24th-best in college basketball in assists with 16.5 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, Colorado State was 164th in the country in committing them (11.0 per game) last season. It was 250th in forcing them (10.5 per game).
• Fresno State ranked 265th in college basketball with 70.7 points per game last season, but on defense it lagged behind, giving up 80.7 points per game (seventh-worst in college basketball).
• Fresno State ranked 221st in the country with 31.2 boards per game, but it allowed 37.5 rebounds per game, which ranked -4-worst in college basketball.
• Fresno State averaged only 10.8 assists per game, which ranked 13th-worst in college basketball.
• Last season Fresno State averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (288th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 12.4 turnovers per contest (79th-ranked).

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