NCAAB

Belmont vs Valparaiso Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - MVC Tournament

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Belmont vs Valparaiso Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - MVC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Belmont Bruins (19-12, 12-8 MVC) will play the No. 12 seed Valparaiso Beacons (7-24, 3-17 MVC) in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, tipping off at 3:30 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Belmont vs. Valparaiso Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 7, 2024
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Arena: Enterprise Center

Check out the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Thursday's Belmont-Valparaiso spread (Belmont -13.5) or over/under (154.5 points).

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Belmont vs. Valparaiso: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Belmont is 15-15-0 ATS this season.
  • Valparaiso has put together an 18-12-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • Belmont hasn't covered the spread as a 13.5-point favorite or more this season, while Valparaiso covers as an underdog of 13.5 or more 66.7% of the time.
  • When playing at home, the Bruins sport a better record against the spread (8-5-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (6-9-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Beacons have a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 6-10-0 record) than away (.857, 12-2-0).
  • Belmont is 12-8-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
  • Valparaiso is 12-8-0 against the spread in MVC play this season.

Belmont vs. Valparaiso: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Belmont has won in 13, or 92.9%, of the 14 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
  • The Bruins have played as a favorite of -1200 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Valparaiso has put together a 3-21 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 12.5% of those games).
  • The Beacons have played in nine games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +720 or longer without a win.
  • Belmont has an implied victory probability of 92.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Belmont vs. Valparaiso Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Belmont has a +57 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.8 points per game. It is putting up 78.1 points per game to rank 65th in college basketball and is allowing 76.3 per outing to rank 298th in college basketball.
  • Ja'Kobi Gillespie's 17.5 points per game lead Belmont and are 104th in college basketball.
  • Valparaiso puts up 67.8 points per game (318th in college basketball) while allowing 75.2 per contest (272nd in college basketball). It has a -228 scoring differential and has been outscored by 7.4 points per game.
  • Isaiah Stafford's team-leading 16.8 points per game rank him 139th in the nation.
  • The 33.8 rebounds per game the Bruins average rank 271st in the country, and are 1.6 fewer than the 35.4 their opponents record per outing.
  • Cade Tyson averages 6.0 rebounds per game (ranking 343rd in college basketball) to lead the Bruins.
  • The Beacons rank 319th in the country at 32.7 rebounds per game. That's 5.6 fewer than the 38.3 their opponents average.
  • Cooper Schwieger is 508th in the nation with 5.3 rebounds per game, leading the Beacons.
  • Belmont ranks 88th in college basketball by averaging 99.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 293rd in college basketball, allowing 96.8 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Beacons average 87.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (326th in college basketball), and give up 97.3 points per 100 possessions (301st in college basketball).

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