Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 3

Odds updated as of 6:11 p.m.

In MLB action on Saturday, the Tampa Bay Rays play the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Rays vs Yankees Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) vs. New York Yankees (93-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Tropicana Field -- St. Petersburg, Florida
• Coverage: truTV, TBS, and HBO Max

Rays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TB: (-132) | NYY: (+118)
• Spread: TB: -1.5 (+168) | NYY: +1.5 (-205)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-142) | Under: (+116)

Rays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 16-5, 2.67 ERA vs Gerrit Cole (Yankees) - 10-9, 3.61 ERA

The probable starters are Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) for the Rays and Gerrit Cole (10-9, 3.61 ERA) for the Yankees. When Rasmussen starts, his team is 16-13-0 against the spread this season. Rasmussen's team has won 77.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (14-4). The Yankees are 9-13-0 ATS in Cole's 22 starts that had a set spread. The Yankees have a 2-3 record in Cole's five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (56.4%)

Rays vs Yankees Moneyline

• The Rays vs Yankees moneyline has Tampa Bay as a -132 favorite, while New York is a +118 underdog on the road.

Rays vs Yankees Spread

• The Rays are hosting the Yankees and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Rays are +168 to cover the runline, with the Yankees being -205.

Rays vs Yankees Over/Under

• Rays versus Yankees, on Oct. 3, has an over/under of 6.5, with the over being -142 and the under +116.

Bet on Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees on FanDuel today!

Rays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Rays have been victorious in 66, or 63.5%, of the 104 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 42-20 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -132 or more on the moneyline.
• The Rays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 159 opportunities.
• In 159 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 84-75-0 against the spread.
• The Yankees have won 15 of the 30 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (50%).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer, New York has a 4-1 record (winning 80% of its games).
• The Yankees have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 77 times this season for a 77-77-4 record against the over/under.
• The Yankees have put together an 83-75-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.5% of the time).

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in total hits (170) this season while batting .276 with 68 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .360 and a slugging percentage of .524.
• Among all qualified batters in MLB, he ranks 33rd in batting average, 30th in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .805, fueled by an OBP of .359 and a team-best slugging percentage of .446 this season. He's batting .293.
• Among all qualifying players, he ranks 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage.
• Liam Hicks leads Tampa Bay in OBP (.367) this season, fueled by 136 hits.
• Hicks enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Chandler Simpson has no home runs, but 38 RBI and a batting average of .306 this season.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Ben Rice has an on-base percentage of .363, a slugging percentage of .534, and has 151 hits, all club-bests for the Yankees (while batting .264).
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 50th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 24th and he is third in slugging.
• Rice brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
• He is currently 31st in batting average, 107th in on-base percentage and eighth in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 59 walks while batting .264.
• Trent Grisham is batting .211 with 19 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 61 walks.

Rays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/24/2026: 6-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/23/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 9/22/2026: 6-1 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/22/2026: 2-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 7/9/2026: 12-4 NYY (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 7/8/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 7/7/2026: 6-4 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 7/6/2026: 5-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/24/2026: 2-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/22/2026: 4-2 TB (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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