Baylor vs Arizona State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 13 seed Baylor Bears (16-15, 6-12 Big 12) will play in the Big 12 tournament against the No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (16-15, 7-11 Big 12), Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Baylor vs. Arizona State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
• Game time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Baylor vs. Arizona State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Baylor win (62.4%)

Before you bet on Tuesday's Baylor-Arizona State spread (Baylor -4.5) or total (153.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Baylor vs. Arizona State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Baylor is 14-16-0 ATS this season.
• Arizona State has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Baylor (6-5) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (54.5%) than Arizona State (9-6) does as the underdog (60%).
• The Bears own a worse record against the spread in home games (7-9-0) than they do in road games (5-5-0).
• This year, the Sun Devils are 10-5-0 at home against the spread (.667 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-6-0 ATS (.455).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Baylor is 8-10-0 this season.
• Arizona State's Big 12 record against the spread is 11-7-0.

Baylor vs. Arizona State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Baylor has been victorious in 12, or 80%, of the 15 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bears have a win-loss record of 9-1 when favored by -192 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Arizona State has been the moneyline underdog 20 total times this season. Arizona State has gone 8-12 in those games.
• The Sun Devils are 4-11 (winning just 26.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +158 or longer.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Baylor has a 65.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Baylor vs. Arizona State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Baylor averages 82.7 points per game (44th in college basketball) while giving up 77.0 per contest (261st in college basketball). It has a +177 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 5.7 points per game.
• Cameron Carr's 19 points per game lead Baylor and are 57th in the nation.
• Arizona State has a -21 scoring differential, putting up 77.2 points per game (150th in college basketball) and conceding 77.9 (293rd in college basketball).
• Moe Odum leads Arizona State, recording 17.1 points per game (151st in college basketball).
• The Bears rank 94th in college basketball at 33.6 rebounds per game. That's 4.8 more than the 28.8 their opponents average.
• Caden Powell paces the team with 6.3 rebounds per game (245th in college basketball action).
• The Sun Devils lose the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are grabbing 29.7 rebounds per game (298th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.4.
• Massamba Diop is 304th in college basketball with 5.9 rebounds per game, leading the Sun Devils.
• Baylor ranks 59th in college basketball by averaging 103.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 211th in college basketball, allowing 96.2 points per 100 possessions.
• The Sun Devils score 96.8 points per 100 possessions (204th in college basketball), while giving up 97.6 points per 100 possessions (249th in college basketball).

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