Arizona vs UCF College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (29-2, 16-2 Big 12) will hit the court in the Big 12 tournament against the No. 8 seed UCF Knights (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), Thursday at 3:14 p.m. ET live on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arizona vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 3:14 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Before you bet on Thursday's Arizona-UCF spread (Arizona -16.5) or total (158.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Arizona vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arizona has covered 18 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• UCF has put together a 15-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Against the spread, the Wildcats have played better when playing at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• This season, the Knights are 8-10-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
• Arizona has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• UCF has covered the spread nine times in 19 Big 12 games.

Arizona vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arizona has come away with 19 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Wildcats have not lost in five games this year when favored by -2778 or better on the moneyline.
• UCF has compiled a 10-7 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 58.8% of those games).
• The Knights have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +1160 or longer.
• Arizona has an implied victory probability of 96.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Arizona vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arizona's +561 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 86.7 points per game (14th in college basketball) while giving up 68.6 per outing (52nd in college basketball).
• Brayden Burries' team-leading 16 points per game ranks 218th in the country.
• UCF puts up 81.7 points per game (57th in college basketball) while giving up 78.4 per contest (305th in college basketball). It has a +102 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 3.3 points per game.
• Riley Kugel is ranked 327th in college basketball with a team-leading 14.7 points per game.
• The 40.2 rebounds per game the Wildcats average rank second in the country, and are 12.5 more than the 27.7 their opponents pull down per contest.
• Tobe Awaka leads the team with 9.5 rebounds per game (20th in college basketball action).
• The Knights win the rebound battle by 3.7 boards on average. They collect 33.7 rebounds per game, 91st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.
• Jamichael Stillwell paces the Knights with 7.9 rebounds per game (83rd in college basketball).
• Arizona averages 105.7 points per 100 possessions (32nd in college basketball), while giving up 83.6 points per 100 possessions (fifth in college basketball).
• The Knights rank 91st in college basketball averaging 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 245th, allowing 97.5 points per 100 possessions.

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