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Arizona vs Houston College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament Championship

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Arizona vs Houston College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament Championship

The Big 12 champion will be crowned Saturday as the No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (31-2, 16-2 Big 12) play the No. 2 Houston Cougars (28-5, 14-4 Big 12) at 6 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arizona vs. Houston Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Game time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Arizona vs. Houston Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (57.1%)

Before placing a bet on Saturday's Arizona-Houston spread (Arizona -1.5) or total (138.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.

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Arizona vs. Houston: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Arizona is 19-14-0 ATS this season.
  • Houston has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • Arizona covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 53.3% of the time. That's more often than Houston covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • The Wildcats have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 17 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities in away games.
  • The Cougars have been better against the spread at home (9-7-0) than on the road (4-5-0) this year.
  • Arizona is 11-9-0 against the spread in conference play this season.
  • Houston is 10-10-0 against the spread in Big 12 games this season.

Arizona vs. Houston: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Arizona has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (91.3%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Wildcats have won 20 of 22 games when listed as at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston has been listed as the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game it lost.
  • The Cougars have played as a moneyline underdog of +104 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
  • Arizona has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Arizona vs. Houston Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Last year, Arizona was 16th-best in the country on offense (82.5 points scored per game) and ranked 219th on defense (73.3 points conceded).
  • On the boards, Arizona was 14th-best in the country in rebounds (36.4 per game) last year. It was 38th in rebounds conceded (28.6 per game).
  • At 16.2 assists per game last year, Arizona was 32nd in college basketball.
  • Last season, Arizona was 186th in college basketball in turnovers committed (11.2 per game) and 215th in turnovers forced (10.9).
  • Houston was carried by its defense last season, as it ranked best in the nation by allowing only 58.7 points per game. It ranked 182nd in college basketball in points scored (73.7 per contest).
  • With 26.9 rebounds allowed per game, Houston was 10th-best in college basketball. It ranked 96th in college basketball by grabbing 33.3 boards per contest.
  • Houston ranked 292nd in college basketball with 12 dimes per contest.
  • Houston ranked top-25 last year in turnovers, third-best in college basketball with 8.4 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 85th with 12.3 forced turnovers per contest.

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