Arizona vs Houston College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament Championship

The top-seeded Arizona Wildcats (31-2, 16-2 Big 12) will play the No. 2 seed Houston Cougars (28-5, 14-4 Big 12) in the Big 12 championship game with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. The game on Saturday at T-Mobile Center starts at 6 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arizona vs. Houston Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Arizona vs. Houston Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arizona win (59.1%)

See these betting trends and insights before you bet on Saturday's Arizona-Houston spread (Arizona -2.5) or total (138.5 points).

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Arizona vs. Houston: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arizona has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Houston has compiled a 16-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Arizona covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Houston covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (never covered this season).
• Against the spread, the Wildcats have fared better at home, covering nine times in 17 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
• This season, the Cougars are 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). Away, they are 4-5-0 ATS (.444).
• Arizona has 11 wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
• Against the spread in Big 12 play, Houston is 10-10-0 this year.

Arizona vs. Houston: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arizona has won in 21, or 91.3%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Wildcats have been victorious 19 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or better on the moneyline.
• Houston has been the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game it lost.
• The Cougars have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• Arizona has an implied victory probability of 57.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Arizona vs. Houston Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arizona's +585 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 17.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 86.4 points per game (14th in college basketball) while allowing 68.6 per contest (51st in college basketball).
• Brayden Burries' team-leading 15.8 points per game ranks 234th in the nation.
• Houston puts up 77.2 points per game (146th in college basketball) while giving up 62.4 per contest (second in college basketball). It has a +491 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 14.8 points per game.
• Kingston Flemings is 182nd in college basketball with a team-leading 16.6 points per game.
• The Wildcats grab 40.0 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 27.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 12.1 boards per game.
• Tobe Awaka is 17th in college basketball action with 9.6 rebounds per game to lead the Wildcats.
• The Cougars are 125th in college basketball at 32.8 rebounds per game. That's 3.7 more than the 29.1 their opponents average.
• Chris Cenac Jr. leads the Cougars with 7.6 rebounds per game (101st in college basketball).
• Arizona ranks 30th in college basketball with 105.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in college basketball defensively with 83.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Cougars' 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 59th in college basketball, and the 83.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.

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