Alabama vs Texas Tech College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (24-9) head into their second-round NCAA Tournament matchup against the No. 5 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-10) on Sunday at 9:45 p.m. ET. The winner moves on to the Sweet 16 in the Midwest Region bracket.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Game time: 9:45 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TBS
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Benchmark International Arena
Texas Tech vs. Alabama Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas Tech win (56.8%)
Before you bet on Sunday's Texas Tech-Alabama spread (Texas Tech -1.5) or total (164.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.
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Texas Tech vs. Alabama: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Texas Tech has put together a 17-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Alabama has put together a 15-18-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Texas Tech and Alabama cover the same percentage of spreads this season (50%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Sunday's line (Red Raiders as favorites by 1.5 or more and Crimson Tide as underdogs by 1.5 or more).
- The Red Raiders have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (9-7-0) than they have in road games (5-5-0).
- The Crimson Tide's winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
Texas Tech vs. Alabama: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Texas Tech has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (78.3%) in those contests.
- This season, the Red Raiders have been victorious 18 times in 23 chances when named as a favorite of at least -105 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Alabama has won four of the eight games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%).
- The Crimson Tide have a 4-4 record (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -114 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas Tech has a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama Head-to-Head Comparison
- Texas Tech's +269 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.7 points per game (69th in college basketball) while allowing 72.6 per outing (138th in college basketball).
- JT Toppin paces Texas Tech, recording 21.8 points per game (12th in the nation).
- Alabama outscores opponents by 8.6 points per game (posting 91.7 points per game, first in college basketball, and allowing 83.1 per contest, 354th in college basketball) and has a +284 scoring differential.
- Labaron Philon is ranked 11th in the country with a team-leading 22.0 points per game.
- The Red Raiders rank 93rd in the country at 33.6 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 more than the 30.3 their opponents average.
- Toppin paces the team with 10.8 rebounds per game (seventh in college basketball action).
- The Crimson Tide rank 12th in the country at 37.0 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 36.0 their opponents average.
- Amari Allen paces the Crimson Tide with 7.1 rebounds per game (147th in college basketball).
- Texas Tech's 104.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 40th in college basketball, and the 93.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 132nd in college basketball.
- The Crimson Tide rank 21st in college basketball averaging 106.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 216th, allowing 96.5 points per 100 possessions.
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