Akron vs Buffalo College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MAC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Akron Zips (26-5, 17-1 MAC) and the No. 7 seed Buffalo Bulls (17-14, 7-11 MAC) face off in the MAC tournament Thursday at Rocket Arena, tipping off at 4 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Akron vs. Buffalo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena

Akron vs. Buffalo Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Akron win (83.2%)

Akron is a 12.5-point favorite against Buffalo on Thursday and the total is set at 158.5 points. Here are some betting trends and insights before making an informed wager on the game.

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Akron vs. Buffalo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Akron has put together a 16-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Buffalo has put together a 17-12-0 record against the spread this year.
• As a 12.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Buffalo is 2-0 against the spread compared to the 4-9 ATS record Akron racks up as a 12.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Zips own a worse record against the spread (6-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-4-0).
• Against the spread, the Bulls have had better results on the road (10-4-0) than at home (6-7-0).
• Akron is 9-9-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Against the spread in MAC games, Buffalo is 10-8-0 this season.

Akron vs. Buffalo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Akron has been the moneyline favorite in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 24 times (85.7%) in those contests.
• The Zips have not lost in 13 games this year when favored by -1053 or better on the moneyline.
• Buffalo has gone 4-10 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28.6% of those games).
• The Bulls have played as a moneyline underdog of +660 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Akron has a 91.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Akron vs. Buffalo Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Akron was eighth-best in the country offensively (84 points scored per game) and ranked 271st on defense (75 points conceded).
• Akron grabbed 35 rebounds per game and conceded 30.8 boards last season, ranking 34th and 153rd, respectively, in college basketball.
• Akron was fifth-best in the country in assists (17.6 per game) last year.
• At 11.5 turnovers committed per game and 12.2 turnovers forced last year, Akron was 221st and 93rd in the country, respectively.
• Buffalo's defensive performance was fourth-worst in the country last season with 80.9 points allowed per contest, but offensively it played better, averaging 71.8 points per game (239th-ranked in college basketball).
• Buffalo ranked 10th-worst in the country with 35.1 rebounds allowed per game. Meanwhile, it grabbed 31.2 boards per game (221st-ranked in college basketball).
• Buffalo averaged 13.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 184th in the country.
• Buffalo struggled in the turnover area last season, ranking fifth-worst in college basketball with 14.2 turnovers per game. It ranked 112th with 12 forced turnovers per contest.

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