ACC Tournament Prop Bets for Friday 3/15/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
ACC Tournament Prop Bets for Friday 3/15/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, we can get into the action by checking out prop bets for key games.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. We can also turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

#4 Pittsburgh vs. #1 North Carolina, 7:00 p.m. ET

Armando Bacot Over 12.5 Points (-125)

The first semifinal game of the ACC Tournament pits the Pittsburgh Panthers against the North Carolina Tar Heels.

UNC is favored by 7.5 points in this one, but a 147.5 over/under shows we are in for a great scoring environment. Armando Bacot should be able to eat up a decent portion of North Carolina's 77.5-point implied team total.

Bacot is averaging 13.9 points per game this season. He has eclipsed 12.5 points in 59.4% of his games while these -125 odds suggest a 55.6% probability.

While there is a bit of value to be had with these odds, I'm most interested in Bacot's matchup against Pittsburgh.

The Panthers are forcing teams to drain threes at just a 30.9% clip, good for the 29th-lowest three-point percentage allowed in college basketball.

UNC scorers such as RJ Davis, Cormac Ryan, and Harrison Ingram -- who are all big three-point shooters -- might have a tough time finding good looks -- but not Bacot.

He has taken just 10 three-point attempts this entire season, so a matchup that favors interior shooting, as opposed to outside shots, should work in his favor.

Pitt gives up 41.4% of their points on either dunks or close two-pointers. This is where Bacot typically finds scoring success and a big reason why I think we should be targeting his points prop today.

Harrison Ingram Over 9.5 Rebounds (-135)

Harrison Ingram is averaging 9.3 rebounds per game. At first glance, these -135 odds seem like a dreary target.

But, after grabbing double-digit rebounds in just 2 of his first 12 games this season, Ingram has transformed into a rebounding machine.

Since the start of 2024, Ingram has recorded over 9.5 rebounds in 15 of 20 games, including 7 of his last 8 contests.

He kicked off this stellar rebounding streak against his very opponent for tonight; Pittsburgh allowed him to grab 15 rebounds in an early January contest.

The Panthers love to shoot threes. They rank 29th in three-point rate, scoring 44.5% of their point from downtown. Unfortunately for Pitt, the Tar Heels force opponents to shoot threes at a 31.1% clip, the 32nd-lowest percentage allowed.

And as mentioned, North Carolina could have a tough time draining downtown shots, too. In a game that should feature a fast pace and plenty of missed outside shots, I want to be on Ingram's side.

#10 NC State vs. #3 Virginia, 9:30 p.m. ET

DJ Horne Over 15.5 Points (-110)

DJ Horne missed the first game of the ACC Tournament and played just 20 minutes off the bench in the second round due to an injury. But yesterday, he returned to full-play (36 minutes) for the NC State Wolfpack and scored 18 points in a big win over Duke.

The Wolfpack are rolling and will now look to compete in the ACC Championship, but first, they need to get past the Virginia Cavaliers. Horne could help them get there.

On the season, Horne is averaging 16.8 points per game.

The -110 odds on his points prop imply a 52.4% probability. However, Horne has exceeded 15.5 points in 54.5% of his games, and if we only account for games where Horne played at least 30 minutes -- a number he should blow past tonight in this ultra-important game -- he is surpassing 15.5 points at a 64.0% clip.

Virginia lets up 40.2% of points from behind the arc. This is good for the 79th-most percentage of points allowed from downtown.

This should suit Horne well. He leads NC State in three-point attempts and three-point makes by a fairly wide margin, and he's also shooting the three-ball at a 42.5% clip (eighth-best in D1).

Historically, Horne leads the scoring charge against the best teams in the ACC. In 14 games against ACC teams that finished their regular season with a better conference record than NC State, Horne is averaging 17.9 points and cleared 15.5 points at a 64.3% rate.

If you’re betting on any NCAA action before March 17th, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s College Basketball Boost Builder. See the promotions page for more information.

Looking for more college basketball betting opportunities? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out all of the upcoming college basketball odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.