4 NBA Win Total Bets to Target Ahead of the All-Star Break

With the NBA All-Star break just a few short days away, now is a great time to consider some NBA futures bets via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Teams are already past the halfway point of the season and generally have around 29 or 30 games remaining on the schedule, making this a great time to check out the regular season win total markets.

Here are four bets to target.

NBA Win Total Betting

Charlotte Hornets Under 17.5 Wins (+124)

The Charlotte Hornets have not found much success in the 2023-24 season. They've collected just 12 wins all season, meaning they need only 6 more Ws to cash the over on their current win total. I don't think they have what it takes to do that, sadly.

Even in a year where the Detroit Pistons set the record for most consecutive losses in a single season (28), the Hornets might still be the worst team in the NBA. They have the worst scoring differential at -11.4 points per game, more than two points worse than the second-worst team. And after trading away leading scorer Terry Rozier, Gordon Hayward, and PJ Washington at the trade deadline, the Hornets are a weakened squad, giving them even fewer chances to reach their 17.5-win line.

According to numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics, the Hornets are the worst team in the league. They've played the worst defense of any team and rank 28th on offense. Charlotte has shockingly rattled off back-to-back wins -- a trend I don't see continuing -- but might be the reason we're getting plus-odds here.

The Hornets have the seventh-most difficult remaining strength of schedule, according to Tankathon's metrics, and have just four more games against numberFire's bottom-five teams remaining on the schedule.

Minnesota Timberwolves Over 56.5 Wins (+110)

On the complete flip side of the spectrum, the Minnesota Timberwolves are having a fantastic season. Their massive trade for Rudy Gobert before last season is paying dividends now after a rocky first year while 22-year-old guard Anthony Edwards has continued to develop into a star, making his second consecutive All-Star game.

The T-Wolves boast the best defense in the league and hold the No. 3 spot in numberFire's schedule-adjusted rankings.

While 57 victories are a lot of wins -- only two teams accomplished the feat a season ago -- but it seems doable for Minnesota. They currently sit at 37-16 (the first seed in the Western Conference), so they'll need to win 20 of their remaining 29 games to hit this over. Given that the Wolves have Tankathon's seventh-easiest remaining schedule, I like their chances to get it done.

It won't be easy, though. The Timberwolves still have seven instances of back-to-backs remaining on their post-break schedule and have to go three rounds against the formidable Denver Nuggets down the stretch. But as some of the weaker teams in the league set their sights on the 2024-25 campaign, the scales begin to tip more toward competitive teams like Minnesota.

Memphis Grizzlies Under 25.5 Wins (+110)

The 2023-24 campaign is looking like a lost season for the Memphis Grizzlies, who entered the campaign with a 45.5-win line for their win total. Now, that number has crashed down to 25.5 wins -- and I don't love their chances of reaching even that small number.

Memphis is on a nine-game losing streak as they limp into the All-Star break. Their injury reports in recent weeks have reached CVS receipt-like lengths as even their backups' backups have begun getting hurt. It's looking a little bleak in Tennessee.

The team's hopes were truly dashed when star guard Ja Morant suffered a season-ending shoulder injury just nine games after serving his 25-game suspension, but they had already been dealing with the loss of Steven Adams in the preseason. Since losing Ja, the Grizz have seen Desmond Bane and Marcus Smart suffer significant injuries -- and with the season already virtually over, it's possible the team holds Bane and Smart out the rest of the way.

During their recent losing streak, the Grizzlies have lost by an average of 13.1 points. They need just 8 more wins to hit the over on their 25.5-win line, but it's hard to see this version of their team scraping out wins the rest of the way.

San Antonio Spurs Over 17.5 Wins (+116)

The 11-43 San Antonio Spurs will need 7 wins across their remaining 28 games to surpass this 17.5-win line, and they will face the second-toughest remaining schedule over those games, per Tankathon. But unlike some other teams at the bottom of the 2023-24 standings, there's some reason for optimism for this Spurs squad in the back half of the season.

Last night's absurd, 10-block triple-double from rookie Victor Wembanyama factors into that optimism -- the Spurs have a young, special player who they can hopefully turn to for some more wins down the stretch. The NBA Rookie of the Year award frontrunner has already shown improvement since the turn of the new year as he's averaging 3.7 more points per game (22.6) since January 1st and has a +0.4 box plus/minus after managing a -6.3 mark between October and December.

Speaking of young players, the Spurs currently have the youngest roster in the NBA. Many of the players on their roster are still finding their footing in the league, so it's not unreasonable to expect to see some growth from San Antonio's developing core after the All-Star break. As five-time NBA Champion head coach Gregg Popovich continues to teach his young team, I'm expecting the Spurs to look a little better when the league reconvenes at the end of the month.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.