3 WNBA Prop Bets to Target for Thursday 6/20/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 WNBA Prop Bets to Target for Thursday 6/20/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and FanDuel Sportsbook's WNBA odds offer a slew of ways to get in on the action via point spreads, totals, moneylines and player props.

In this article, we'll focus on the day's top prop bets. Let's dig in.

All WNBA odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook, and lines are subject to change after this article is published.

WNBA Prop Bets

Dearica Hamby Over 26.5 Pts + Reb (-104)

The Los Angeles Sparks (4-11) will visit the New York Liberty (12-3) for a game that features a meaty 166.5-point over/under.

Dearica Hamby has been having a red-hot season for the Sparks but has struggled in her last two games, going a combined 6-for-24 from the field (25.0% FG%).

Her uncharacteristic performance in these two games has left her undervalued in today's props market, so let's target this combined points and rebounds (PR) prop.

Hamby is averaging 29.0 PR and has cleared 26.5 PR in 13 out of 15 games.

The consistency with which she is exceeding tonight's PR prop is glaring and speaks for itself, but we can also find some confidence in this matchup against New York.

The Liberty are one of the best teams in the W, though they are predominantly led by their league-best offense and rank a more mortal fourth in defensive rating. They're also playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the league.

Hamby has played in six games against teams that rank in the top half of pace. In this split, she is averaging a hefty 32.0 PR and surpassed 26.5 PR in all six games.

Cameron Brink's rookie season came to an unfortunate end this past Tuesday after she sustained a torn ACL. With Brink gone, Hamby should be needed to take on an even bigger role in the interior and on the boards. Given that Hamby has toppled 26.5 PR in 86.7% of games, I'm happy to back these -104 odds, which imply just a 50.9% probability.

Rickea Jackson Over 10.5 Points (-122)

New York may be favored by a resounding 14.5 points in this one, but I still think there is more value to be had in LA's player props market.

Rickea Jackson began her rookie season as a role player off the bench but has since moved into the starting lineup, serving as the team's second-leading scorer behind Hamby.

Jackson has been averaging 29.7 minutes per game across her last three contests. She has performed well in this increased role, so I'd expect this level of usage to stick.

But Brink's injury is even more pertinent. The Sparks are now down a starter and will likely look to prioritize their other 2024 first-round draft pick to an even higher degree than they were before.

Jackson has already been averaging nearly 30 minutes across her last three games, and I wouldn't be surprised if that kind of workload is the new normal for the former Tennessee standout.

In games where Jackson has played at least 20 minutes, she is averaging 11.8 points. She is scoring 0.43 points per minute, which would theoretically mean she would need to log just 25.6 minutes to clear 10.5 points. The Liberty aren't the easiest of matchups, but they do maintain a pretty quick pace and surrender the third-most three-point attempts (3PA) per game.

Jonquel Jones Over 1.5 Made Threes (-106)

Jonquel Jones is known as one half of the interior two-headed monster that is her and Breanna Stewart, but she has also been absolute money from downtown this season.

She's averaging 1.9 three-point makes (3PM) per game and has drained over 1.5 threes in 9 out of 15 games. Jones has notched at least two made threes in five straight games, averaging 3.2 3PM across this span.

The Sparks allow opponents to shoot threes at the third-highest clip in the league. They're also ceding the third-most 3PM to opposing forwards.

Los Angeles comes in with a -7.6 net rating (third-worst). Historically, Jones is more aggressive from downtown when facing inferior opponents. She has played nine games against teams that reside in the bottom half of net rating. In this split, she is averaging 2.2 3PM and has nailed at least two threes in seven out of nine contests.

Whether we look at this through a broader season-long view or check out splits in context with tonight's matchup, Jones' probability of draining at least two threes is higher than these -106 odds (51.5% implied probability) suggest.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.