3 NHL Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 11/16/23

Tom Vecchio
Tom Vecchio@Tom_Vecchio1

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NHL player props bets that look appealing via the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Jonathan Marchessault To Score a Goal (+140)

The Vegas Golden Knights are coming off a loss and I fully expect them to bounce back against the Montreal Canadiens tonight.

A 3.72 implied goal total is where we see Vegas sitting tonight and they can push past that in a hurry. Right now, the Golden Knights are scoring 2.74 Goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the 11th best in the league.

For the Canadiens, they are allowing just 1.92 Goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is actually the fifth-lowest in the league. However, and it's a big however, the Canadiens Expected Goals Allowed (xGA) is up at 2.82, which is the 10th worst in the league.

They are overperforming by nearly a full goal and are due for some serious negative regression. This means we should be targeting some players from Vegas for some goals, so let's start with Jonathan Marchessault.

This is a bit of a homecoming for Marchessault, who is from Québec City, just a bit down the road from Montreal.

More importantly, Marchessault is on the first forward line and the first power-play for the Golden Knights, which has allowed him to rack up 6 goals, 3 assists, and 44 shots on goal in 16 games.

He also hasn't scored five straight games and with the Canadiens' defense due for some negative regression, what better time to break a drought than near your hometown?

Nikita Kucherov To Record 5+ Shots on Goal (+132)

Nikita Kucherov is on fire to start the season.

With 23 NHL points and 67 shots on goal through 15 games, Kucherov sits in the top six of the NHL in both stats. He is constantly putting offensive pressure on opposing teams and it's led to him being one of the most consistent players in the league.

While 5+ shots on goal seems high, Kucherov is averaging 4.4 shots on goal per game, and has hit the 5+ shots on goal in eight of his 15 games.

Tonight, he's going up against the Chicago Blackhawks, who come in allowing 69.44 Shot Attempts per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the third-worst in the league.

This is the ideal matchup for Kucherov to continue doing his thing and pile up the shots on goal.

Jordan Kyrou Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-108)

If the San Jose Sharks are on the slate, we look to player props against them.

It's that simple when it comes to the Sharks this season, a team that is on pace to be historically bad.

They are allowing the second most Shot Attempts (69.98) and the most goals (3.62) both per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations. In no way is it hyperbolic of me to say this is the actual worst defense in the entire league.

So with that said, we turn to Jordan Kyrou, who leads the St. Louis Blues with 53 shots on goal this season, or 3.7 per game. Those 53 shots on goal are 22 higher than the number two player for the Blues, clearly signaling Kyrou is their primary shooter.

With time on the second forward line and the first power-play, Kyrou should have plenty of chances to attack the worst defense in the league tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.