3 NHL Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 11/20/23
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Please note that betting lines and numberFire's projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.
Brad Marchand To Score a Goal (+200)
With Andrei Vasilevskiy still out of the lineup for the Lightning, they are not the once-vaunted defense we need to worry about.
This season, the Lightning are allowing 3.30 Goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the second-worst in the NHL. Over the last two weeks, they've somehow managed to get worse and are now allowing 3.87 Goals in the same situations.
They are also in the bottom half of the league for the most penalty minutes this season, so I guess when it rains it pours.
The Bruins are in the top 10 of the league in goals per game (3.44) and power-play percentage (23.6%), making them a clear team to target for some goals tonight.
We'll turn to their newest captain, Brad Marchand, who skates on the first forward line and the first power-play unit. That has led to him piling up 7 goals, 11 assists, and an average of 3.4 shots on goal per game. He has just one goal over his last four games but continues to fire the puck early and often.
Marchand also has Tampa's number in recent years, coming in with 5 goals, 2 assists, and 25 shots on goal in his last seven games against them.
Adrian Kempe Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-102)
The 'Yotes got off to a decent start this season but things have changed for the worse. Over the last two weeks, they've allowed 66.87 shot attempts per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the fifth-worst in the league.
That lines up perfectly with the Kings, who are taking 69.98 shot attempts in the same situations over the last two weeks, which puts them as the second-best team in the league.
This leads us directly to Adrian Kempe, who leads the Kings with 59 shots on goal this season, or 3.6 per game. Those 59 shots are 17 more than the next player on the Kings, a good indication Kempe is their primary shooter.
He comes in with just three total shots on goal over his last two games, making this a nice spot for him to find his groove again and pile up the shots.
Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-128)
A soft matchup puts Nathan MacKinnon in a great spot to pile up the shots tonight.
MacKinnon is one the very best high-volume shooters in the league and comes in 74 shots on goal through 16 games, or 4.6 per game. So it makes sense that his 4.5 prop has a bit of juice tonight against the Nashville Predators.
The Colorado Avalanche love to push the pace on offense and come in with 68.39 shot attempts per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the second-highest in the league this season.
Over the last two weeks, the Predators have started to slip on defense and are now allowing 32.23 shots per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is good for the eight-worst in the league.
MacKinnon skates on the first forward line and the first power-play unit for an Avs team that has the second-highest implied goal total (3.58) of the night. They are going to be pushing things on offense and MacKinnon should be firmly involved.
That won't be anything new for MacKinnon in this matchup, as he has dominated them in previous seasons.
Over the last two years including the playoffs, MacKinnon has played the Predators nine times. He has finished with at least six shots on goal in eight of those nine games, and eight shots on goal or more in five of those nine games.
He has legitimately dominated them in this stretch so I'm looking to ladder up his shot prop with MacKinnon To Record 6+ Shots on Goal (+158) and 7+ Shots on Goal (+290), too.
The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.