3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: Week 10

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season is here, and we kick things off on Thursday Night! I'll be bringing this article every Thursday along with a show on the Covering the Spread podcast feed to break things down.

Adam Thielen Any Time Touchdown (+180)

Thursday Night Football features the Chicago Bears hosting the Carolina Panthers, so let's jump into some props.

A very modest 38.5-point over/under and a 3.0-point spread in favor of the home Bears set the stage for the start of Week 10. Let's start with an any time touchdown (+180) from Adam Thielen.

Thielen has very quietly been one of the best receivers in the league this season, sitting in the top 15 for yards, receptions, and targets.

He's doing all that while playing on 91.6% of the snaps, running a route on 92.9% of dropbacks, which has led to a 26.5% target share, 29.1% air yards share, 7.1 average depth of target (aDOT), and 37.9% red zone target share.

Except for the aDOT, all of those are the highest on the Panthers, making the clear number one option in their offense. For the Bears' defense, they have allowed the fourth-most (10) touchdowns to receivers and the 17th-most (1,320) receiving yards.

Thielen's role in the offense is abundantly clear, and with a soft matchup, he should have a chance to find the endzone this week.

Chuba Hubbard Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Panthers' backfield is changing and it leads us to these next two props.

We'll start with Chuba Hubbard over 13.5 receiving yards, in what is truly a fantastic matchup.

The Bears' defense has allowed 578 receiving yards to running backs this season, which is dead last in the league. That's good for 64 receiving yards per game allowed to running backs, a spot we should be jumping on.

For the season, Hubbard has an 8.0% target share and is running a route on 38.9% of dropbacks. Over their last two games, which have come after their bye week, Hubbard now has an 11.8% target share and running a route on 47.5% of dropbacks.

His involvement in the passing game is on the rise, and he has a matchup that should allow him to put that on display this week.

Miles Sanders Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The above prop correlates with this one, so let's break it down.

The short answer to this is that Miles Sanders' role in the Panthers' offense has decreased as the season has gone on. For the year, Sanders has been playing on 45.9% of the snaps, which is less than Hubbard up at 52.1%.

This has led to Sanders having fewer than 10 rushing attempts in four of his seven games this season -- including three games in a row. As noted above, things have changed for the Panthers since their bye week.

Over the last two weeks, Sanders has only played on 22.7% of the snaps, while Hubbard is up at 65.2%. Things may appear 'split' for the entire season, but the recent trend is nothing but negative for Sanders.

When it comes to the Bears' defense, they've been super solid against the run game this season, having only allowed 568 rushing yards to running backs, which is the sixth-fewest in the league. That's good for just 63 rushing yards per game.

Running backs haven't been successful against the Bears this season and if any running back is going to see the touches, it's going to be Hubbard who's actually on the field.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.