3 NBA Star Player Prop Bets for Friday 2/2/24

Player props are a fun way to get involved with the NBA each night, especially when it comes to the game's elite players.

That's what we'll focus on here -- prop bets for the NBA's best players via FanDuel Sportsbook's NBA Star Player Props.

Using data -- including numberFire's daily basketball projections -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Made Threes (+162)

We'll kick off today's star props by targeting one of the most dominant scorers in the league -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

SGA is averaging 31.3 points per game (third-most in the NBA) and currently holds the second-shortest odds (+270; via FanDuel Sportsbook) to take home this year's MVP trophy.

But despite leading the league in total points, SGA hasn't made a resounding impact from behind the arc. He's eclipsed 1.5 made threes in 18 of his 47 games, meaning the 38.3% hit rate on the over at this line is nearly identical to the 38.2% implied probability for this prop at +162.

If we took SGA's season as a whole and chose a matchup at random, then it seems the +162 odds for this prop would be apt. However, he's been making a bigger impact from downtown as of late and has a friendly matchup on deck against the Charlotte Hornets.

SGA has surpassed 1.5 made threes in 11 of his last 20 games (55.0%). To start this season, he was shooting the three-ball at a disappointing 31.7% clip. But since the start of January, he's been rocking with a 40.0% three-point percentage.

The Hornets surrender the fifth-most three-point makes (3PM) overall and the second-most 3PM to guards per 36 minutes. Charlotte is allowing opponents to shoot the ball at a league-high 39.1% clip from above the break, which is the same area where SGA has taken 91.3% of his 3PA this season.

SGA has recently been shooting and making more threes than these plus-odds account for, and the Hornets present him with arguably the best three-point shooting matchup in the NBA.

De'Aaron Fox Over 27.5 Points (-115)

An All-Star selection snub and date with the Indiana Pacers could be just what the doctor ordered for a major De'Aaron Fox game.

Fox is averaging 27.2 points per game this season, giving credence to his status as an All-Star snub. He has exceeded 27.5 points in 22 of his 40 games, so he is hitting the over at this line at a higher clip (55.0%) than the 53.49% implied probability at -115.

The Sacramento Kings are playing at the 11th-fastest pace in the league, but Indiana has outdone them by playing at the second-fastest pace. Add in that the Pacers are surrendering the third-most points per game, and we should expect a motivated Fox to show up big in a game that has all the fixings to be a barnburner.

Sacramento comes into this one with a 125.5 implied team total (second-highest on the slate).

In 23 games where the Kings have scored at least 120 points, Fox is averaging 29.0 points. And in 14 games where the Kings have scored at least 125 points, Fox is averaging 29.3 points and is surpassing 27.5 points at a 71.4% clip.

Fox nets a combined 59.3% of his points from either the paint or the foul line. The Pacers are giving up the most paint points and free-throw attempts in the NBA, leaving me excited to side with the over.

Anthony Edwards Under 5.5 Assists (-152)

Forgive the boring odds because we are getting a good deal on Anthony Edwards' assist prop.

Edwards has recorded over 5.5 assists in just 17 of his 45 games this season. The -152 odds imply a 60.3% probability, but he is actually hitting under 5.5 assists at a 62.2% clip.

If we check out a more recent sample, my faith in the under grows. In Edwards' last 25 games, he has recorded under 5.5 assists in 18 contests (72.0% of the time).

He and the Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Orlando Magic tonight. This matchup pits the team with a league-best defensive rating (T-Wolves) against the team with the league's fifth-best defensive rating (Magic), giving us a very modest 213.0 over/under (slate-low).

This should be a slow-paced, low-scoring game, putting Edwards' assist opportunities in jeopardy. The T-Wolves have a 109.5 implied team total in this one. Edwards has failed to dish out more than 5.5 assists in 11 out of 16 Minnesota games that have ended with a 110.0 or less team total.

Add in that the Magic are surrendering the fewest assists per game, and the under here looks like a solid move.

If you’re betting on any NBA action on February 2nd, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook’s 25% Profit Boost to use on any NBA Same Game Parlay with 3+ legs. See the promotions page for more information.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.