3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 2/27/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 2/27/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Evan Mobley Over 23.5 Pts + Reb (-106)

Let's kick off today's props by targeting an undervalued Evan Mobley.

On the season, Mobley is averaging 25.7 combined points and rebounds (PR). He has eclipsed 23.5 PR in 22 of his 33 games.

This means he is hitting the over on today's PR line at a 66.7% clip, indicating we are getting a great deal with these -106 odds, which imply just a 51.5% probability.

On top of this, Mobley is in for a great matchup against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks surrender the fifth-most points and ninth-most rebounds per game to power forwards.

Dallas also struggles in the paint, letting up the ninth-most points in the league from this area. Mobley, meanwhile, nets 76.6% of his points in the paint.

Mobley leads every player on the Cleveland Cavaliers in field goal attempts, field goal makes, and field goal percentage in the restricted area. The Mavs are letting opponents shoot the ball at the league's third-best clip from the restricted area, so look for Mobley to rule this territory to an even higher degree tonight.

Factor in that Dallas is ceding the sixth-most putback points, which creates an avenue for Mobley to parlay offensive boards with points, and I want in on this over.

Derrick White Over 18.5 Pts + Ast (-106)

The Philadelphia 76ers will visit the Boston Celtics for the first game of an NBA on TNT doubleheader.

Joel Embiid's (knee) injury has caused this matchup to lose some of its charm, but there are a pair of player props worth looking at for this nationally televised game.

First up is none other than Derrick White.

White is averaging 20.6 combined points and assists (PA) this season, so the market may be lowballing his PA number tonight.

He has surpassed 18.5 PA in 32 of his 53 games, which means he is clearing this prop at a higher rate (60.4%) than the -106 odds suggest (51.5% probability).

And White's not been slacking as of late, either. He has cleared 18.5 PA in four straight games, averaging 25.5 PA per night in this span.

Without Embiid, the Sixers are a completely different team. The numbers show an Embiid-less Philadelphia squad could feed into White's hands.

Over Philly's last 15 games -- 13 of which were without Embiid -- the team has let up the fifth-most points and second-most assists per 36 minutes to guards.

In this same split, the Sixers have surrendered the fifth-most three-point makes (3PM) per game. White nets 51.7% of his points from behind the arc and is shooting the three ball at a solid 40.2% clip.

Dating back to last February, White has exceeded 18.5 PA in six straight games against the Sixers, averaging 27.3 PA in this span. He managed to record 27.0 PA against an Embiid-less Sixers team this past December.

The implied probability shows value, and it's crystal clear that White shines against Philadelphia's guards, especially with the loss of Embiid.

Buddy Hield Over 12.5 Points (-113)

Over on Philadelphia's side, I think Buddy Hield is primed to score tonight.

Since being traded from the Indiana Pacers, Hield has played in seven games for Philadelphia.

As a Sixer, he is averaging 18.1 points in 35.4 minutes per night and has scored over 12.5 points in 6 out of 7 games.

The Celtics own the fourth-best defensive rating in the NBA, but this matchup is still a great spot for Hield to shine.

This season, he is scoring 66.0% of his points from downtown, and since coming to Philly, he is averaging 4.0 3PM off of 9.1 three-point attempts (3PA).

He shoots and makes a ton of threes, which should hold up against Boston.

The Celtics cede the fourth-most 3PA in the league. They allow more 3PM from the 25-to-29 foot range than any other team in the NBA. Hield, meanwhile, is shooting (7.9 3PA) and making (3.1 3PM) the majority of his threes from the 25-to-29 foot range.

Since Hield is seeing hefty floor time and averaging 14.6 FGA since joining the Sixers, I'm keen on targeting his overall points prop as opposed to his threes prop. But even still, there is some appeal in Buddy Hield 4+ Made Threes at +170 -- he has hit this in 5 out of 7 games with Philadelphia and has an excellent three-point matchup on deck.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.