3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 11/28/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Terry Rozier Over 20.5 Points (-102)

The Charlotte Hornets have a low implied team total (104.5) against the New York Knicks, but I don't anticipate that to stop Terry Rozier from putting up average numbers.

Rozier (groin) returned from injury on Sunday and scored 22 points against the Orlando Magic. For reference, the Magic rank just one spot behind the Knicks in points allowed to guards per 36 minutes

On the season, Rozier is averaging 22.0 points per night and has cleared this prop in five out of six games. LaMelo Ball (ankle) is doubtful for tonight's game, which opens plenty of scoring doors for Hornets players. Ball shoots a team-high 19.9 field-goal attempts (FGA) per game, which is the 11th-most (tied) in the entire NBA.

In 30 games without Ball last season, Rozier averaged 22.0 points. This season, Rozier is scoring 23.4 points per 36 minutes with Ball off the court, while he's netting 20.3 points per 36 minutes with Ball on the court.

I think this advantage outweighs the fact that the Knicks, as a whole, do not let up a dramatic amount of points. And not for nothing -- Rozier did great against New York last season. In two games, he averaged 24.5 points (24- and 25-point performances) against the Knicks.

Plus, the Knicks allow the 12th-most points to ball-handlers off of pick-and-rolls. Rozier scores the 16th-most points in the league in this split and the most among non-Ball Charlotte players.

Jayson Tatum Under 42.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-111)

The Boston Celtics (13-4) will play the Chicago Bulls (5-13) in a game that is not expected to be particularly close (slate-high 13.5-point spread). Boston is 7-0 at home, while the Bulls have just one road win to their name.

Jayson Tatum averages 35.7 minutes at home, whereas he is playing 38.1 minutes on the road. A blowout victory could ensure that Tatum sees some extra bench time, but even if he sees typical time on the floor tonight, I don't think he'll go off today.

Tatum is averaging 41.1 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) this season, but per 36 minutes -- a tick above his average minutes at home -- he is averaging 39.8 PRA.

In Boston games that have been decided by more than 10 points, he is averaging 40.3 PRA.

Despite their shortcomings this season, Chicago gives up the 11th-fewest points per game. They allow the second-fewest points in the paint, which is where Tatum scores 35.1% of his points.

The high spread notwithstanding, the Celtics' implied team total stands at a somewhat modest 116.5 points. In games where Boston has scored 117 points or fewer (in regulation), Tatum is averaging 39.4 PRA.

numberFire projects 40.7 PRA for Tatum tonight, and I think the under is the side to be on.

Andrew Wiggins Over 11.5 Points (-111)

Andrew Wiggins is one of a few non-Stephen Curry players on the Golden State Warriors who have been disappointing to start the season. After averaging 17-plus points across his last nine seasons, the 28-year-old is putting up just 11.8 points per game off of lower-than-average shooting percentages.

A matchup against the Sacramento Kings could be just what the doctor ordered to see some positive Wiggins regression.

The Kings allow the 10th-most points in the league, paired with the eighth-highest field-goal percentage and three-point percentage (3P%). Wiggins has struggled to find his shot this season, so a matchup like this one could do him some good.

Sacramento cedes the 11th-most points in the paint to forwards per 36 minutes -- Wiggins scores 51.7% of his points from this area.

Wiggins has averaged 18.9 points per game in his career, but he's averaged 21.1 in 32 career games against the Kings. Last season, he averaged 25.0 points (24-, 25-, and 26-point performances) across three games against Sacramento, which was eight points more than his season average.

He historically dominates the Kings, and he has seen an uptick in the points column as of late, averaging 15.2 points across his last five games.

Wiggins delivered 11- and 14-point games against Sacramento earlier this season without draining a three in either outing. At the time of his most recent game against this team, he held a 16.7% 3P%. Over his last four games, he's shooting 50.0% from behind the arc.

I'd also venture to check out Andrew Wiggins To Score 15+ Points at +210. The odds on this are enticing and could be used towards FanDuel's No Sweat Same Game Parlay offered for the NBA on TNT games tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.