3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 2/1/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.
Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.
NBA Prop Bets
Derrick White Over 15.5 Points (-102)
The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the Boston Celtics for the first game of an NBA on TNT doubleheader, and I think Derrick White is primed to put the ball through the hoop.
On the season, White is averaging 15.8 points per game. He has found his groove on this Celtics team, eclipsing 15.5 points in 18 of his last 29 games.
White scored 18 points against the Lakers earlier this season, and given this matchup and his role for the Celtics, I think we should see him in that range once again.
The Lakers surrender the third-most points to shooting guards and the ninth-most points to all guards per 36 minutes.
Los Angeles is also giving up more three-point makes (3PM) to guards per 36 minutes than any other team in the league, which is excellent news for White backers. White nets 50.9% of his points from behind the arc and is shooting the three-ball at a solid 40.0% clip.
D-White should see some great looks from downtown, but I'm keen on targeting his overall points prop because he is a do-it-all player who can score from just about any area of the court. The Lakers have been allowing the fourth-most paint points over their last 10 games, which is where White scores 31.6% of his points.
Add in that White has been seeing decent floor time when Jayson Tatum, Boston's leading scorer and highest volume shooter, has been on the bench, and I feel good about siding with the over.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 Points (-106)
The New York Knicks have taken some blows to their frontcourt this season.
Starters Mitchell Robinson (ankle) and Julius Randle (shoulder) will remain out for tonight's contest against a points-sacrificing Indiana Pacers team, so let's target Isaiah Hartenstein to make use of his starting role.
Randle has missed only two games for the Knicks thus far, but Hartenstein put up 10 and 14 points in these contests. Given this matchup against the Pacers, it seems the barriers to another double-digit performance are few and far between.
Indiana has surrendered more paint points per game than any other team in the NBA. After acquiring Pascal Siakam, they've received a defensive boost. But even still, they have given up the eighth-most paint points in seven games since Siakam joined the team.
Hartenstein scores a towering 78.2% of his points in the paint, so going up against a weak interior defense lifts his potential quite a bit.
The Pacers force teams to play at a quick pace that does not favor three-point shooting. They let up the fewest 3PM in the league, which should only aid Hartenstein's potential. Not only will the Knicks be forced to look inside for scoring, but Hartensetin has drained just one three-pointer all season, so this matchup could concoct the perfect storm for him.
Beyond the paint, Hartenstein scores the remaining portion of his points from the foul line (20.2%). Indiana is surrendering the second-most free throw attempts (FTA) to centers per 36 minutes and the most FTA in this split since Siakam joined the lineup.
For Hartenstein specifically, this is about as good of a matchup as he could ask for. Plus, he is netting 8.2 points per 36 minutes when sharing the court with Randle, whereas he is averaging 12.7 points per 36 minutes with Randle off the court.
Tobias Harris Over 6.5 Rebounds (+114)
Tobias Harris is averaging 6.0 rebounds per game, but Joel Embiid (knee) is out for the Philadelphia 76ers in tonight's contest against the Utah Jazz, which makes the value on Harris' rebounding prop intriguing.
Harris is the sole Sixer starter who isn't coming into this game with an injury designation. He's been Philadelphia's one constant, and when the team is short-staffed, he makes his presence known on the boards.
He has played in 10 games sans Embiid and exceeded 6.5 rebounds in half of those contests. The +114 odds for this prop show a 46.73% implied probability, but Harris is hitting this mark at a 50.0% rate with Philly's lead-rebounder out of the lineup.
In games where Embiid has been out and Harris has played at least 30 minutes (he averages 33.9 minutes this season), he has cleared 6.5 rebounds in five out of eight games.
Harris will go up against the Utah Jazz, a team that is surrendering the sixth-most offensive boards per game. Without Embiid taking up sole residency of the paint, Harris' offensive rebounding chances will increase, and Utah can be taken advantage of in this regard.
On the season, Harris is seeing 11.3 rebound chances per game. Utah has a big team, and in order for Philly to compete, they'll need Harris to step up on the boards. That's been the Embiid-less gameplan for the Sixers as of late -- Harris has exceeded 6.5 rebounds in five of his last seven games without the reigning MVP -- so I think the plus-odds are worth a nod.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.