3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 11/2/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 14.5 Points (-114)

Out of all players on tonight's slate, I think Kelly Oubre is the most undervalued by the market.

Through three games, he is averaging 19.0 points, but his latest 12-point performance has this line set at 14.5. Oubre shot 30.0% from the field in this game -- something that is very unlikely to happen again.

He shot 43.1% from the field last season, and even with his poor shooting night on Sunday, he still maintains a 50.0% field goal percentage this season.

Oubre has missed his last 10 shots from behind the arc, but he still managed to score 18 points despite going 0-6 on three-point attempts (3PA) in one of these games.

I can't imagine he'll continue to flail this hard in this respect, but he has proven that he does not need to rely on three-pointers to score. His competition for tonight, the Toronto Raptors, allowed the third-highest three-point percentage last season, so I think we could see the version of Oubre that went five-for-six from the three-point line in the Philadelphia 76ers' season opener.

Not only is his point average this season up to snuff for this prop, but he also averaged 20.3 points per game last season. The good news doesn't stop there. Following a blockbuster trade surrounding James Harden, that also sent P.J. Tucker packing, a starting spot has opened for Philadelphia, and it seems Oubre will fill that role tonight.

Oubre and the Sixers have already faced Toronto once this season. The Raptors allowed Oubre to get off 17 field-goal attempts for 18 points (the game where he also went 0-6 on 3PA), so even when he's bad, he still can clear this prop handedly. I like the chances he could see tonight as a starter.

Wendell Carter Jr. Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-128)

After averaging 15.2 points and 8.7 rebounds per game last season, Wendell Carter Jr. has not been able to get things going in the early days of this season. He's averaging just 8.3 points and 8.3 rebounds through four games, but I think he is primed to turn things around in this matchup against the Utah Jazz

Last year, Carter led the Magic in field-goal tries and points (16th in NBA) off the pick-and-roll. The Jazz, meanwhile, are giving up the sixth-most points to the roll man on pick-and-rolls.

Carter also, understandably, led the team in putback points, and the Jazz gave up the second-most putbacks points last season. This allows a nice opportunity for him to parlay offensive rebounds with points.

This season, Carter is scoring 60.6% of his points in the paint (PITP). He scored most of his PITP (47.7%) last year as well, which is great news given that Utah gave up the most PITP to centers last season -- and the fifth-most PITP to centers per 36 minutes.

All this, plus the fact that the Jazz are a middle-of-the-road rebounding team, allowed Carter to grab 29 PR (19 points, 10 rebounds) in one game against them last season.

Utah is shooting the 4th-most FGA per game right now but rank 11th in points per game, so rebounding opportunities should be ever-present. Carter is bound to turn things around at some point (his current 36.4% FG% pales in comparison to last year's 52.5%), and this looks like the perfect matchup for him to do just that.

Josh Okogie Over 9.5 Points (+100)

Bradley Beal remains out for the Phoenix Suns with a back injury, but Devin Booker has been upgraded to questionable for tonight's game against the San Antonio Spurs. Given that Booker's props are available on FanDuel Sportsbook, we will operate under the assumption that he will, in fact, play tonight -- but him being back with the team won't stop me from targeting alternative Suns' players.

Phoenix's team total for tonight sits at 117.5. Kevin Durant and Booker have been marked down by FanDuel Sportsbook to contribute 56 of those points (28.5 and 27.5 point props, respectively). This would theoretically leave 61.5 points for the non-Durant/Booker players to fight over, and I think Josh Okogie can score at least 10 of those.

Okogie is averaging 11.3 points this season, and he was able to score 17 in the Suns' season opener even with Booker scoring 32 points during 37 minutes of play.

He's been averaging 29.3 minutes per game since joining as a starter this season. Okogie managed to score at least 10 or more points in 18 out of 20 games where he played 28 minutes or more last season. When given the opportunity, he takes advantage.

Though the market has the Suns scoring 117.5 tonight, I think that number is probably on the lower-end of what we might actually see. The Spurs have given up an average of 121.5 points through four games (fourth-worst in the NBA), which is somehow better than their 123.1 points allowed per game last season (league-worst).

Okogie scored 11 points against the Spurs on Tuesday night, and though this is cutting it close, he did shoot only 30.0% from the field, so even a case of underperformance would get him above the hump here.

Once Beal returns, it will be a different story. Point opportunities beyond the Suns' three stars will be far and few between.

However, the Durant and Booker combination should be ideal for Okogie. He will have enough opportunities to score, given that he ranks third in PPG among starters, while also seeing better shot opportunities created by the defensive fanfare that Durant and Booker create. In the Suns' season opener, the highest frequency of Okogie's shot attempts were classified as wide open (closest defender is at least six feet away).

Until Beal returns, if we can get Okogie to score at least ten points at plus odds -- especially in a game that is projected to be high-scoring. I am taking advantage of it.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.