3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Monday 2/26/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Josh Hart Over 13.5 Reb + Ast (-115)

The market hasn't been paying close enough attention to Josh Hart and the New York Knicks.

Hart has eclipsed 13.5 combined rebounds and assists (RA) in 11 of his last 12 games, and he's shown no signs of stopping.

Julius Randle and OG Anunoby both remain sidelined for New York, which has gifted Hart a spot in the starting lineup.

In the 11 games since Randle has been out, Hart has been playing a whopping 39.3 minutes per game. He's averaging 15.5 RA each night in this span.

He and the Knicks will take on the struggling Detroit Pistons. New York is favored by 11.0 points, so there is some blowout potential in this one, but a friendly matchup outweighs the risk of a shortened fourth-quarter bid for Knick starters.

On the season, Detroit has surrendered the seventh-most assists per game to small forwards. Across their last 30 games, the Pistons have allowed small forwards to record more assists than any other team in the Association.

Hart could have plenty of dimes in him tonight, and we know his rebounding potential is through the roof.

Since Randle has been out, Hart is accumulating a towering 16.1 rebound chances per game. Rebounding is a priority for Hart, and he could see ample chances in a matchup that pits Detroit and their sixth-worst offensive rating against New York and their ninth-best defensive rating.

Nicolas Claxton Under 23.5 Pts + Reb (-122)

The Brooklyn Nets will visit the Memphis Grizzlies for a game that has a modest and slate-low 215.0 over/under.

A low game total could present a solid opportunity to target an under, especially if the market is overrating a player's output. It seems Nicolas Claxton's combined points and rebounds (PR) prop may fall under this category tonight.

On the season, Clayton is averaging 22.1 PR. He has exceeded 23.5 PR in just 17 of his 46 games this season despite being featured in Brooklyn's starting lineup for every contest.

The -122 odds suggest a 54.9% probability, but Claxton has recorded under 23.5 PR in 63.0% of his games this season.

If we work with a more recent sample, the under looks even more appealing. Claxton has exceeded 23.5 PR in just 2 of his last 12 games.

Memphis' long-winded injury report proves they are bruised and battered. However, the majority of their sidelined players hail from the backcourt. Claxton, meanwhile, will draw a defensive matchup from Jaren Jackson Jr., the NBA's reigning Defensive Player of the Year.

We should see other players on this Nets team take advantage of the Grizzlies' short-staffed squad, but I expect Jackson to give Claxton a tough time in the paint.

Claxton nets 85.9% of his points in the paint while Memphis is surrendering the 11th-fewest paint points per game. Further, the Grizzlies are giving up the 13th-fewest field goal makes (FGM) off of putbacks, so Claxton's PR opportunities could be limited in this matchup.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 23.5 Points (-122)

Paltry implied team total (107.5) aside, Jaren Jackson Jr. is playing too big of a role on Memphis' offense for me to fade the over on his points prop tonight.

Jackson is the lone full-time starter that remains active on this Grizzlies team. He has started 52 games for Memphis, while Desmond Bane has started the next-most at 37 games.

Bane has now been out since mid-January, and Jackson has, in turn, taken on the lion's share of scoring duties for this team.

In the 15 games since Bane has been out, Jackson is averaging 25.1 points per game. He exceeded 23.5 points in 10 of those games, and Brooklyn's status as the team with the 10th-worst defensive rating could have him there again tonight.

Jackson scores 51.2% of his points in the paint while the Nets allow opponents to shoot the ball at the league's fourth-best clip from this area. Jackson can also get going from downtown, netting 24.7% of his points from behind the arc. Brooklyn, meanwhile, surrenders the fifth-most three-point makes (3PM) per game.

I'm also encouraged by the 2.0-point spread on tap for this showdown. The Grizzlies have been blown out in their fair share of games, which has, at times, limited Jackson's court time.

Look for Jackson to have a full game's worth of looks against Brooklyn's unconvincing defense.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.