3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Monday 10/30/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Clint Capela To Record A Double-Double (+130)

I don't know that Clint Capela will be found at plus odds on this prop for much longer. He's recorded a double-double in all three games so far this season, averaging 13.3 points and 12.7 rebounds per game.

He's no stranger to double-figures in these categories -- Capela has averaged a double-double in each of his last six seasons.

However, I'm keen on siding with Capela tonight for more reasons than what recent and not-so-recent history shows us. This matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves should offer Capela some great opportunities.

Minnesota is allowing the fourth-most points and second-most rebounds to centers so far this season. The sample is too small to rely on it in a major way, but it's still worth mentioning because it reinforces that this Minnesota team has not performed well against centers -- last year they sacrificed the seventh-most points and seventh-most rebounds to the position.

Capela has proven that he is a perennial double-double candidate, and when we can find him at plus odds to do so against a team that, historically, allows a decent amount of points and rebounds to centers, it is right to side with him.

Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 Points (-115)

A revenge game is on tap for Kristaps Porzingis, who will play his first game against the Washington Wizards since being traded to the Boston Celtics in the offseason.

Based on his averages -- last year Porzingis averaged 23.2 points per game, and he is averaging 23.5 points through two games this season -- and, more importantly, this matchup against Washington, I think Porzingis is primed to clear the over on this prop tonight.

This Celtics-Wizards matchup boasts the highest total of the night, so it should be a good game to target in general.

Last year, the Wizards ranked 17th in total points allowed, 18th in points allowed to centers, and 23rd in points allowed to forwards per game (they fared much better against guards). Though this season affords us only a two-game sample size, Washington has given up the second-most points per game coming into tonight.

I think Porzingis -- in particular -- can shine for a few reasons. First off, the Wizards weren't great at defending big men last season (fourth-worst defensive rating against centers), and since last year, they lost their biggest defensive threat in the post -- Porzingis himself.

The Wizards also gave up the third-most field-goal attempts (FGA) per game to roll men off the pick-and-roll, which is great news for Porzingis -- he is shining off the pick-and-roll since joining the Celtics, averaging seven points per game off this alone (third in NBA).

When it comes to clearing the over on point totals, it never hurts for a player to both shoot a lot of threes and knock down a lot of threes. Porzingis has shot 15 threes for the Celtics through two games and is making 46.7% of them -- though this extent may not be sustainable, we can already see what offensive threats like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown do for Porzingis' opportunities and shot quality.

Plus, the Wizards have allowed a whopping 45 three-point attempts per game (most), so I'm siding with Porzingis to put up 20 tonight.

Steph Curry 5+ Made Threes (-130)

I think we could be in for a vintage Stephen Curry three-point performance tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans.

Through three games this season, Curry is averaging 5.7 made triples per game. He was 4 for 14 (28.6% 3P%) from behind the arc in his first game, 7 for 10 (70.0%) in the following game, and 6 for 14 (42.9%) in his most recent outing.

Last season, Curry shot 42.7% from behind the arc, which is almost identical to his career 42.8% 3P%. We can reasonably infer that he will hover around this percentage on any given night -- it's more a matter of how many triples we will see Curry shoot tonight.

The Pelicans have given up 40.0 three-point attempts per game this season (sixth-most).

Given the small sample, it'd be a lot more helpful to look at last year's numbers -- New Orleans gave up 36.0 three-point attempts per game last season (tied for seventh-most). For reference, the highest amount of threes given up per game by a team last season was 38.8.

Though Curry played just one game against the Pelicans last year, he did attempt a whopping 15 threes in it and drilled eight of them.

Asking Curry to hit five three-pointers is rarely a tall order, so when we can find decent enough odds for him to do this against a team that gives up plenty of attempts from behind the arc, I feel good about siding with him.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.