3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 2/23/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 2/23/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Vince Williams Jr. Over 17.5 Pts + Ast (-120)

The 2023-2024 Memphis Grizzlies season ended before it ever really started.

Just about every starter on this Memphis team has found themself on the injury report for an extended stay with Desmond Bane serving as the latest casualty.

While Memphis doesn't hold hope for playoff basketball, they have seen encouraging signs from sophomore guard Vince Williams Jr., and I don't think the market has caught up to how he's been performing.

In the 16 games since Bane got hurt in mid-January, Williams is averaging 21.1 combined points and assists (PA).

He has exceeded 17.5 PA in 13 out of 16 of these contests. In the three occasions in which Williams failed to reach 17.5 PA, he instead recorded 15, 15, and 16 PA, so he's always right there.

This iteration of the Grizzlies lineup has Williams clearing 17.5 PA at an 81.3% clip, so I see no good reason why we shouldn't target him tonight.

He and Memphis will take on the Los Angeles Clippers, which sounds like a more difficult matchup than it will be.

The Clippers are a significantly better team and will likely sail to a victory, but across their last 30 games, they've surrendered the 2nd-most points and 11th-most assists to opposing shooting guards.

Further, LAC has given up the ninth-most three-point makes (3PM) to shooting guards in this split, and Williams scores 46.7% of his points from behind the arc.

Jalen Johnson Over 25.5 Pts + Reb (-106)

Jalen Johnson is averaging 24.3 combined points and rebounds (PR) this season, but key injuries for the Atlanta Hawks and a friendly matchup against the Toronto Raptors should have him punching above his weight tonight.

Onyeka Okongwu (toe), a power forward who is playing 25.8 minutes per game for Atlanta, has been ruled out for the foreseeable future.

This season, Johnson has played in a pair of games sans Okongwu. He found incredible success in this span, averaging 34.0 PR through these two contests.

Atlanta's starting center, Clint Capela (left adductor strain), will return to action tonight -- albeit on a minutes restriction.

With Okongwu out and Capela limited, the Hawks lack depth among their bigs, so I expect Johnson to take on a more meatier role than he already has and exploit Toronto's weak defense.

The Raptors are giving up the sixth-most points in the paint this season, and since trading Pascal Siakam in mid-January, they have surrendered the second-most paint points in the NBA.

Johnson, meanwhile, nets 61.6% of his points in the paint, so he should be able to find plenty of scoring opportunities here.

Toronto is also letting up the sixth-most rebounds per game since Siakam's departure, so I have faith in Johnson racking up plenty of points and rebounds in this one.

Plus, the Hawks have a 126.5 implied team total in this one, which is the second-highest on today's slate.

Trae Young Over 11.5 Assists (+104)

If we're looking for Jalen Johnson to score in this friendly game environment, we can probably rely on Trae Young to dish out some dimes.

Young is averaging 10.9 assists per game (second-most in the NBA), but since the paint looks to be wide open in this one, he should see above-average assist opportunities.

The Raptors let up the second-most assists per game to point guards.

Young is averaging 18.3 potential assists per game. Interior scoring could become a priority for Atlanta, and since shooting percentages are much higher from this range than that of outside shooting, Young's potential assists should be converted to the stat sheet at a higher rate than normal.

These teams have met up on three occasions this season. Young recorded 17, 11, and 12 assists in those games.

Young seems primed for another assist-heavy game, so I'm happy to side with the plus odds here.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.