START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK
Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 1/26/24

Subscribe to our newsletter

3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday 1/26/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Gary Trent Jr. Over 12.5 Points (-115)

Immanuel Quickley (thigh) is out for the Toronto Raptors in tonight's game against the Los Angeles Clippers, so let's look for Gary Trent Jr. to get going for the North.

Trent has started four straight games for the Raptors, and with Quickley now out, we should expect him to be in the starting lineup once again. He is averaging 14.3 points as a starter and should see additional opportunities without Toronto's third-leading scorer in this game.

When sharing the court with Quickley, Trent is averaging 15.7 points per 36 minutes. But with Quickley off the court, Trent is netting 17.5 points per 36 minutes.

The Raptors have been making moves as of late, trading away both Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby. We've yet to see a sample of how Trent fares without Siakam, Anunoby, and Quickley, but history shows us that he is an efficient scorer who goes off when given the chance.

Last season, Trent averaged 18.7 points in 44 games as a starter. Since depth is an issue for this Raptors team (starter Jakob Poeltl is also out), it wouldn't be a stretch to say that we could very easily see Trent in the 30-plus-minute range tonight. That's about what he's been averaging as a starter (29.9 minutes) even without injuries rearing its head for this team.

In six games wherein Trent has played more than 30 minutes, he is averaging 20.2 points per contest. He nets 60.0% of his points from behind the arc, and in LA's last 15 games, they have been giving up the 12th-most three-point makes (3PM) to guards per 36 minutes.

Trent leads all Raptors with a 41.7% three-point percentage. Quickley shoots 13.6 field-goal attempts (FGA) per game, while Siakam was shooting 16.0 FGA per night prior to being traded two weeks ago. There is a scoring gap that needs to be filled for Toronto tonight, and it seems Trent is primed to do just that.

I'm quite bullish on Trent, so I'd consider laddering his scoring props. You can get Gary Trent Jr. To Score 15+ Points at +145 and To Score 20+ Points at +550.

Trent has eclipsed 15 points in four of his nine games as a starter, so the 44.4% hit rate is higher than the implied probability (40.82%) at +145. He has surpassed 20 points in two games as a starter, so the 22.2% hit rate is also higher than the implied probability (15.39%) at +550. Add in that these games do not even account for Quickley's absence, and the value here starts to look pretty intriguing.

Markelle Fultz Under 17.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (+100)

Markelle Fultz has been riddled with injuries his whole career, and this year has been no exception.

He's played just 12 games for the Orlando Magic this season. Fultz is averaging 15.0 combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) and has exceeded 17.5 PRA in just four of those 12 games.

However, upon return from a knee injury earlier this month, he was held to a minutes restriction, which has since been lifted. But even if we take out that three-game sample where Fultz saw reduced court time, he is still netting just 17.2 PRA per night and has exceeded 17.5 PRA on just four out of nine contests.

And in four non-minute restricted games since his return from injury, Fultz has exceeded 17.5 PRA just once, accumulating 15.3 PRA per night in that span.

At this moment, I don't think we can't trust Fultz, and this matchup that pits Orlando against the Memphis Grizzlies is a great spot to target an under.

The Magic-Grizzlies game offers us a slate-low 212.5 over/under, which is significantly lower than any other game on this slate. Orlando has been playing at a league-low pace over their last 15 games, and a battered Memphis team doesn't instill any quick-pace faith, either.

We should expect Fultz to be a victim of this slow game, especially since Orlando's depth is the real deal. There are currently 10 healthy players on the Magic's roster who are averaging at least 18.9 minutes per game and 14 healthy players who play at least 13.2 minutes per game.

Fultz doesn't put up big numbers to begin with, but if we add in the unprecedented depth on this team and the modest over/under, I'm having a hard time fading the even money here.

Grayson Allen Over 2.5 Made Threes (+116)

Grayson Allen has hit over 2.5 threes in six straight games, and it's no secret why.

The Phoenix Suns weren't able to showcase their entire Big 3 -- Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Bradley Beal -- for many of the early days of this season. These players are all major offensive threats who force abnormally high attention from opposing defenses.

But Phoenix's Big 3 has been healthy as of late, which is creating awesome looks for the sharpshooting Allen.

Allen has played in 12 games alongside all members of the Big 3 this season. He has eclipsed 2.5 threes in seven of those games. Considering how much the floor changes with or without any members of the Big 3, this 12-game sample is the main split we should be focused on, which means Allen's hit rate (58.3%) on over 2.5 made threes is noticeably higher than the implied probability (46.3%) at +112.

The Suns will go up against the Indiana Pacers, who are coming off an impressive victory from last night. Indiana plays at a fast pace that favors inside looks from opponents as opposed to three-point shooting. However, they've looked different in four games since Pascal Siakam joined the team, and their interior defense has begun to tighten up.

With a new-look Indiana defense and a slate-high 124.5 implied team total for the Suns, Allen should see plenty of good looks. The numbers prove he is sure to capitalize on this -- Allen is shooting the three-ball at a league-best 49.3% clip this season.


Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NBA betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

Subscribe to our newsletter

Want more stories like this?

Sign up to our newsletter to receive the latest news.

Newsletter Signup
Newsletter Signup