3 MLB Best Bets for Friday 6/14/24

Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.

From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily. Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.

Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Betting Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies, 8:40 p.m. ET

Pirates Moneyline (-108)

On Friday, a series is commencing at Coors Field between the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-36) and Colorado Rockies (24-44). As it is now, these are the last place teams amongst the NL Central and NL West, respectively.

Still, one thing is not necessarily like the other here. Pittsburgh has hovered around .500 for most of the campaign while Colorado is continually getting blistered.

Whether there is some inflation from playing home games at 5,280 feet, the Rockies have the worst team skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) in baseball at 4.64. From there, their bullpen is tagged with a 5.62 ERA presently, which is another cellar mark.

On Friday in Denver, Ryan Feltner (4.10 SIERA) will get the ball for the Rox while the Buccos have yet to name a starter. The righty Feltner has been blitzed for five or more earned runs in three of his past five outings. Of course, two of those starts were at Coors.

Despite not listing a pitcher, Pittsburgh has a bullpen that can rack up strikeouts (11th) while keeping home runs down (22 HR against this season; 7th-best in MLB).

Considering this game is listed as a pick 'em at FanDuel Sportsbook, I like the Pirates on the moneyline (-108 odds) tonight. numberFire concurs with this sentiment, giving Pittsburgh a 51.2% winning likelihood. From there, ESPN Analytics yields a 58.2% chance to win.

Chicago White Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40 p.m. ET

Over 9.0 Runs (-105)

The Chicago White Sox (18-52) will head to the desert to start a weekend series at the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-36). FanDuel labels this contest with a 9.0-run total, and given the incoming matchups, I believe there is value in this market.

Going against 9.0 runs at Chase Field (elevation: 1,100 feet), I am leaning toward the over at -105 odds. The probable pitchers here are Chris Flexen and Ryne Nelson, and transparently, neither arm need be avoided right now.

Nelson is laboring arduously for the D-Backs again this season, owning a 4.85 SIERA and 4.78 xFIP. On the other side, Flexen has built a lofty 5.06 ERA (4.76 xFIP) in his first full campaign with Chicago.

The White Sox are certainly a team with issues on offense, but their lineup has improved as of late. Over the past 10 contests, the ChiSox have produced 4.2 runs per game, which is up from 3.06 runs per game on the season.

Arizona does not appear poised for a second consecutive World Series run at this point, but they are still maintaining a top-10 offense. The Diamondbacks' .720 OPS is more than formidable. After 69 bids in 2024, the "Serpientes" have plated 4.77 runs per game.

Back at numberFire, the MLB game projections are in strong support of over 9.0 runs for Sox-Snakes. numberFire's model approximates 10.57 total runs on Friday, which translates to a 57.19% chance for over bettors to cover.

Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 p.m. ET

Over 8.0 Runs (-110)

In a rematch of the 2002 World Series, the Los Angeles Angels (26-42) will head travel north to take on the San Francisco Giants (34-35). At time of authorship, the Giants are another side yet to name a starting pitcher for Friday.

The Angels will send out lefty Tyler Anderson to toe the rubber. Overall, Anderson has been inefficient this season, posting a meek 1.61 K/BB ratio. Of course, the fact that he is walking 3.62 hitters per nine innings has grounded that figure.

To make aspects more difficult for Anderson, the Giants are one of those teams that has hit much better versus left-handed pitching. Currently, San Francisco has a .748 team OPS/.261 batting average when going against southpaw pitching in 2024.

When looking at both bullpens here, the Giants and Halos are both struggling this season. The Angels have produced a 5.17 ERA (second-worst) out of the 'pen while San Francisco's relief group has compiled a 4.17 ERA (12th-worst).

My comfort with a wager on over eight runs at Oracle Park is aided here by the Giants' and Angels' 2024 track record in the totals market.

Sneakily, both sides here are within MLB's top-six teams when it pertains to over winning percentages. The Halos (36-31-1) and San Francisco (36-31-2) have both cashed the over in 53.7% of games played this year.

All customers get a 30% Profit Boost to use on a 3+ leg Same Game Parlay for any MLB game happening June 14th! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.