MLB

3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Tuesday 6/4/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Tuesday 6/4/24

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Mitch Spence, P, Athletics ($6,900)

This isn't a great slate for value arms, but if you're looking to allocate more salary to hitters on Dinger Tuesday, I can get behind Mitch Spence at $6.9K.

Spence has been rock-solid in three starts since moving to the Oakland Athletics' starting rotation, giving up just three runs across 13 1/3 innings. He's managed 12 strikeouts while walking five, finishing with 23, 15, and 34 FanDuel points. Granted, he's only made it through five innings once, but that did come in his most recent outing against the Tampa Bay Rays. He held Tampa to a single hit across 5 1/3 innings.

For the season, Spence now owns a 3.52 ERA -- reinforced by a 3.40 FIP and 3.56 SIERA. He's forced a stellar 50.9% groundball rate while limiting opposing hitters to 6.5% barrel and 36.4% hard-hit rates. While his 22.1% strikeout rate isn't out of this world, a 12.3% swinging-strike rate suggests there's some untapped potential in the K department.

What better team to help realize strikeout potential than the Seattle Mariners? After finishing with the second-highest strikeout rate (25.9%) last season, the Mariners have somehow gotten even more K-happy in 2024. Not only do they have the highest strikeout rate (27.7%) overall, but their K rate also jumps to 28.5% against right-handed pitchers. In that same split, Seattle ranks just 27th in wOBA (.294), 23rd in ISO (.138), and 22nd in wRC+.

It doesn't hurt that Spence is pitching at Oakland Coliseum -- a bottom-10 venue for hitters, per Statcast Park Factors. Though Oakland is a +140 moneyline underdogs, Seattle's 4.13 implied team total isn't anything to shy away from.

Although pitching is strong at the top, Mitch Spence could serve as a low-salary way to open up more salary for your hitters tonight.

Mike Tauchman, OF, Cubs ($3,000)

The Chicago Cubs have an absolutely monstrous 5.86 implied total for tonight's Crosstown Classic against the Chicago White Sox, so we can scour their lineup for some value in DFS.

With leadoff-man Mike Tauchman up against righty Chris Flexen, I'm happy to turn to him at a $3K salary.

Tauchman has taken a step back since a torrid opening month, but he continues to boast strong numbers against righties. In that split, the left-handed outfielder has a .352 wOBA, .156 ISO, and 131 wRC+. He's striking out just 20.4% of the time versus righties while all four of his home runs have come against them.

With Flexen on the bump for the south siders, Tauchman's well-positioned to maintain his strong track record against righties. Flexen has gotten rocked to the tune of a 5.40 ERA and 1.41 WHIP this season. He's only striking out 18% of opposing hitters, simultaneously allowing a 46.7% flyball rate. That's resulted in a 1.33 HR/9 and played a role in his less-than-ideal 4.73 FIP and 4.74 SIERA.

On top of that, Flexen has been atrocious against lefties. They've pieced together a .355 wOBA against him, while five of the eight homers he's allowed have come against left-handed hitters despite facing twice as many righties.

That bodes well for Tauchman's prospects tonight, especially given the favorable hitting conditions. Wrigley Field is Statcast's sixth-best venue for left-handed hitters, and wind blowing out should only amplify that advantage.

On Dinger Tuesday, Tauchman has +600 odds to hit a home run and -105 odds to record 2+ total bases.

Ryan O'Hearn, 1B/OF, Orioles ($2,900)

The Baltimore Orioles are up against a righty tonight, so it's time to turn Ryan O'Hearn's way in DFS.

The left-handed O'Hearn has mashed righties all season. He's put together a .356 wOBA, .190 ISO, and .135 wRC+ in that split, culminating in a .822 OPS. Baltimore rarely deploys him in same-handed matchups, but he's proven to be a reliable fantasy option when available.

Even with his stellar metrics, there's reason to believe O'Hearn has room to grow. He's 90th-percentile or better in xwOBA (.384), xBA (.297), and xSLG (.548) -- all of which are lower than his actual numbers.

O'Hearn and the Orioles face off with the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. Trevor Richards will start for the Blue Jays, though Bowden Francis is expected to handle the bulk of the innings.

As the No. 3 hitter, O'Hearn will likely get some cuts against both righties -- although neither should scare us. Richards has a 3.18 ERA through 28 1/3 innings, but he's only given up a .118 BABIP. His 4.51 FIP and 4.11 SIERA are stronger indicators of how he's actually performed, and a 52.1% flyball rate certainly gives O'Hearn a chance to make something happen.

Francis is who I'm really excited about for O'Hearn. He'll be making his first start off IL, having previously pitched to an 8.59 ERA across 14 2/3 innings. The righty notably surrendered four home runs over that sample, and that comes after he gave up a 50.5% flyball rate in 2023.

O'Hearn should be able to take full advantage of that. He has +520 odds to hit a home run and +115 odds to record 2+ total bases.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.