MLB

3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Monday 6/24/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Monday 6/24/24

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Spencer Schwellenbach, P, Braves ($8,000)

Matt Waldron is going to be the slate's chalky value arm, and I like him quite a bit. But given Waldron's projected high roster rate, I'm worried Spencer Schwellenbach is going to fly under the radar a bit.

Based on his early results, that would be a mistake. The 24-year-old only has four MLB starts under his belt, and his 4.98 ERA isn't anything to write home about at face value.

But a look under the hood shows decent ERA indicators -- a 3.62 xERA, 4.24 xFIP, and 4.16 SIERA -- despite a quarter of his major league innings coming against the Baltimore Orioles. He's notably allowed just a single barrel thus far, good for a 1.6% barrel rate allowed.

From a fantasy perspective, Schwellenbach's 13.7% swinging-strike rate is what really has me excited. That's only translated to a 20.4% K rate thus far, but we saw him reach 7 Ks in his most recent start. That helped propel him to 46 FanDuel points and marked his second consecutive quality start.

A road date with the St. Louis Cardinals is a nice spot to carry positive momentum into. The Cardinals are top 10 in wRC+ (107) and wOBA (.317) against right-handed pitchers, but they've also struck out ninth-highest clip (23.8%) in that split.

St. Louis has taken a back step this month, too, dipping to 18th in wOBA (.308) and 20th in barrel rate (7.3%) since June 1st. With Busch Stadium tracking as a bottom-10 venue for power, according to Statcast Park Factors, Schwellenbach shouldn't face too much trouble building on his last two starts.

Jurickson Profar, OF, Padres ($3,100)

The San Diego Padres are up against Patrick Corbin -- someone I'm always looking to attack in DFS. The Washington Nationals' lefty has an ERA north of 5.00 for the fourth consecutive season while his 6.66 xERA is the highest of his career.

Corbin is also allowing the highest hard-hit rate (48.2%) and second-highest barrel rate (10.2%) of his career all while generating whiffs at the lowest clip since his rookie season (9.0%).

For opposing hitters, that's a quality recipe for fantasy success. We see that baked into San Diego's projection as the Padres have the slate's fifth-highest implied total (4.60).

Jurickson Profar should play a big part in that as San Diego's No. 3 hitter against lefties. That's a split he's thrived in this season, posting a .440 wOBA, .214 ISO, and 194 wRC+ against southpaws.

5 of Profar's 10 home runs have come against lefties despite him having over twice as many plate appearances against righties.

Tonight, the switch-hitter has +870 odds to hit a home run and +130 odds to record 2+ total bases.

Salvador Perez, C/1B, Royals ($2,900)

The Kansas City Royals have the slate's highest implied total (5.64) in their home matchup with the Miami Marlins. That makes them one of the slate's top stacks, but they only have one hitter salaried over $3K, meaning we can turn to them for some value bats.

Miami is starting righty Roddery Munoz in KC. On the season, Munoz has a ugly 5.76 ERA, backed up by a 7.00 xERA, 4.57 xFIP, and 4.34 SIERA. Though his 3.34 HR/9 is unsustainable, it's not surprising to see someone that allows a 43.9% fly ball rate and 15.9% barrel rate struggle to keep the ball in the yard.

With a righty on the bump for the Miami, Salvador Perez is well-positioned to outperform his $2.9K salary. Salvy has enjoyed a bounce-back season thus far, and he's had particular success against righties.

In that split, Perez boasts a .349 wOBA, .184 ISO, and 124 wRC+. 9 of his 11 home runs have come against right-handed pitchers while he has this game's shortest odds to hit a home run (+265).

Though Salvador Perez has gone hitless in his last 14 plate appearances, a plus matchup against the Marlins puts him in a nice spot to rebound and provide value in DFS.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.